Ogre Mage
YaBB God
Posts: 3,508
Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -5.22
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« on: August 30, 2016, 12:09:50 AM » |
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Both states have large numbers of whites with no college degree, which is Trump's demographic wheelhouse. Both states have strong protectionist attitudes. Iowa has a very small number of nonwhite voters and the Iowa Republican Establishment has embraced Trump.
I would separate the two states insofar as I doubt Trump will win Ohio -- there's a decent sized nonwhite demographic there and Kasich and Portman are giving Trump the cold shoulder. But I think Trump has a solid chance to win Iowa. Clinton has never showed any real strength in her primary performances there, whereas she looked strong in Ohio both in 2008 and 2016.
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