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Political Matrix E: -4.39, S: -5.22
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« on: May 21, 2014, 03:02:42 AM » |
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This is probably the closest senate race in the county based on the polling for the last 6 months. Now that Bevin has been dispatched, will Grimes numbers hold up once McConnell turns his attack machine on her full time? She has done well to keep up so far, but the next few months will be a big test for her campaign. On the other hand, McConnell has never run against a candidate like Grimes before.
At present I'd have to still consider McConnell a slight favorite to win reelection, even with his horrible approval ratings. Obama is a painful albatross for Grimes in KY, worse than for Michelle Nunn, who, as others have noted, has a large minority population to fall back on in GA. Nunn also can continue to watch Perdue and Kingston claw at one another during the runoff campaign. Grimes doesn't have that luxury.
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