New NH Poll

[zachman]

This poll is a little surprising even to me. Everyone in NH hates Bush (that's not much of an over-exaggeration), but if the republicans stay behind him he would win here. I guess they are split, and are not all behind him. It is probable that Bush will not win here in November. I think the gay marriage issue will kill Bush's chances of winning in the upper midwest spare maybe Iowa. Arizona Virginia and Florida may start to see democratic gains, with this issue. My advice to Kerry- ignore Missouri and West Virginia. Focus on making urban America vote. Don't flip-flop on gay marriage, be confident in what you say.

[zachman]

The republicans shouldn't focus on NH, but the republican party needs to hold on to all four seats in congress here in order to keep strong control of NH's political stance.

NH and Arizona, and Kerry taking all the Gore states will put Kerry over the top- that possibility is not that unlikely.