Democrats Seem to be Targeting 6 States

[zachman]

Estrada won't get through, but if he does thats meaningless. Bush's nominations of minorities do not have a political effect, except for immunity from attack by the democrats on that subject. Bush's political moves will come back and kill him.

I like Bill Nelson as Kerry's potential VP, I saw him yesterday on C-Span and I liked him. Picking Graham would be stupid, Kerry needs to break the deadlock by being younger and newer than Bush/Cheney. I think John Edwards would be an excellent pick as well. He has a phoenominal stump speech, and did surprisingly well here in New Hampshire among the educated voters! Or Evan Bayh?

The states are smart picks. Kerry would certainly win NH and I think New Hampshire if his VP pick is smart. I see it as essentially everyone who voted for Gore, who, lets be frank, was in many ways the lowest common denominator of a democrat, will vote for Kerry. Bush's voting support has I don't think increased, especially against Kerry who has full credentials, and looks presidential. I think Bush's increased support has come within his base, but will not be strong in states with a high percent of college graduates. Kerry's hunting attempts will put him in good shape in West Virginia and his story will do well in Ohio and Missouri.

          The West will probably go for Kerry as well, unless Bush can get McCain to campaign for him with passion. Bush's environmental policy will be hard-felt for him there.

I wonder if McCain will break from the Bush camp, or stay neutral, or join Kerry. They are both veterans, senators, and both angry at the WMD situation, and think through many other issues.

[zachman]

        Gore's numbers were only high because the race was predicted to be a dead heat. So many democratic leaning voters voted for Bush or Nader, or did not vote because of Gore's lack of charisma, the truth that the media will not mention.

           Although Kerry's experience is not as strong as Gore's, he has more assets over Bush. Kerry is a veteran. His parents were not career politicians. And Kerry will be tough in the debates, and will catch Bush when he lies and exaggerates.