First consequence of the CPC having lost touch with reality, Quebec MP Alain Rayes leaves the party, saying he believes in law and order, unlike Poilievre.
So the Canadian equivalent of Change UK and the Lincoln Project Appears . Well and don’t forget back in 2004 when Joe Clark endorsed the Libs :
https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1790840235
Change UK was a flop but also Corbyn was pretty far left so I think that made it easier for your Wets to fall in line whatever misgivings had of Boris. Lincoln Project may have been small in numbers but election was close enough that the Never Trump Republicans were what cost Trump his second term. Had they stayed with GOP or voted for third party, Trump would have won a second term. I am guessing Lincoln Project only around 2% of Americans, but that was enough to tip the scales.
1. Fair
2. Sure but that would probably mean a Result with liberals getting around 10 more seats than the Tories in which case Pierre probably stays and there is another election in a year . Keep in mind they did fail in 2016 though
Most Lincoln Project types were Romney 12 - Johnson 16 - Biden 20 voters. Trump got a larger share of the popular vote in 2020 (46.8%) than 2016 (46%) but lost as third party support largely swung behind Biden who gained even more.
Yes, but as ever those straight percentage changes hide underlying "churn".