Election 2052 (user search)
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Author Topic: Election 2052  (Read 5421 times)
Hotblack Desiato
Rookie
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Posts: 124
Uruguay


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -0.87

« on: July 06, 2011, 02:00:46 PM »

If NJ is going GOP, then why not New York?

You do know that the people who live outside of NYC actually can vote, right?  For how much longer can the Upstate area of NY stay Dem?
That's true. But there is one key problem with that problem. Presuming current coalitions continue for another 40 years(am just discussing that to set a baseline scenario)

Upstate New York is bleeding population and is already outweighed by downstate. Also, we've got liberals of our own up here. However, this means NY could go from being deep blue to merely being a typical safe dem state.

This means election results of 51-55% dem instead of our current 55-60% dem lean.  Also, more republican governors/state legislators and representatives or senators.
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Hotblack Desiato
Rookie
**
Posts: 124
Uruguay


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -0.87

« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2011, 04:12:45 PM »

Maybe. I would make some adjustments, though.

1) A good year for the Democrats



2) a good republican year

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Hotblack Desiato
Rookie
**
Posts: 124
Uruguay


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -0.87

« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2011, 05:52:33 PM »

Utah isn't going to go democrat anytime soon.
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Hotblack Desiato
Rookie
**
Posts: 124
Uruguay


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -0.87

« Reply #3 on: July 06, 2011, 05:58:11 PM »

If the democratic party has leanings anything like it's current form, then yes.
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Hotblack Desiato
Rookie
**
Posts: 124
Uruguay


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -0.87

« Reply #4 on: July 07, 2011, 07:02:34 PM »

Well, in 2052 or at least the 2052 I was projecting American politics looked more latin american in some ways. The democrats looking like Chile's Christian democratic party[1] while the GOP is a party ranging from euro-style liberal-conservative with some more socially conservative elements being conservative-liberals.

Essentially, this is an America that's a nation which looks inwards, never really recovered from the great recession and is mostly latin in population[2].

Democrats
foreign policy: Pacifistic, favor foreign aid
Economics: social market economy/pro-worker corporatism, protectionist
Social issues: moderate, status quo, states rights, anti-abortion(squishy moderate with a moralistic tone)

GOP
foreign policy: General isolationist.
Economics: Favors a freer market, lower taxes.
Social issues: states rights, anti-government lean, law and order(secular center-right?)

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christian_Democrat_Party_(Chile)
[2] Demographic inertia, differential birthrates, kids of anglo-latin relationships choosing to identify with the group that gets AA and the fact that a US which had a 90s Russian-style collapse is still the land of plenty compared to Mexico. However, unlike what Pat buchanan would say they're not spanish-speakers or would-be secessionists.
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