Anyway the latest map showing all recent GE polls looks like this:
Giuliani vs. Clinton:
Clinton: 198 EV
Giuliani: 160 EV
Toss-Up: 21 EV
I think CT is the next state to flip to Clinton when the new Quinnipiac poll comes out later this month ...
I think it's likely the GOP will win Florida, and have the battle to carry in Ohio and Pennsylvania. If FL and PA go to the GOP, there's a good chance they can pull out OH as well. Keep in mind, if the public was voting based on Iraq and Bush, then every democrat would be leading every Republican by atleast 20 pts in polls as they did in 1988. The fact that they are tied or close...and in some cases trailing...is a sign of another very close election.