Trump approval ratings thread, 1.4

[Reaganfan]

I do find it amazing how Bush's approval rating was over 20 pts lower than a guy who has all three networks and 2/3 cable networks talking scandal, impeachment, Watergate-style stories on him 24/7. In todays day and age, I see 44-50% approvals and I kinda shrug and say, "Meh". If it was 22% or 24%, then I'd be like, "Holy cow."

[Reaganfan]

Obama's approvals were similar if not even lower at similar points in 2010 and he had a mega-huge wipeout in the midterms. Every red avatar on this forum was shaking it off. But because it's Trump...

Double standards, double standards.

[Reaganfan]

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/19/politics/poll-of-the-week-trump-unsuccessful-president-record/index.html

He doesn't have to bring his up. He just has to bring theirs down.

Exactly. That's why it's foolish to ever count him out. I won't feel confident about him losing until election day 2020 if the Democrat attains 270 electoral votes.

Or 269, unless The House flips

Actually, because the House votes for President by States, if the current House voted, Trump would win 26-22-2.

...and that is when things get really messy, with Wyo0ming counting as much as California.

Should there be any electoral reform through Constitutional Amendment,  I can easily see the national popular vote being the first tier of selection followed by the current mechanism. (I suggest at least one more than 45% for an adequate plurality. (That would have pushed the election to the Electoral College in 1912, 1968, and 1992 -- but in such cases, Wilson, Nixon, and Clinton would have won those three-way races.

The new tier applied to 2000 would have given us Al Gore and in 2016 would have given us Hillary Clinton. American experience with Dubya and especially Trump would make such a reform attractive.

Another method would be to apportion the electoral vote by state based upon shares of the total vote, but that is a complicated formula which I have discussed elsewhere. It does reflect federal representation so that (for now) California gets 55 and Wyoming gets 3. 

That's like saying a basketball team would have won if three point shots were worth 10 points.

It's our system, deal with it.

[Reaganfan]

Gallup, Feb. 1-10, 1016 adults (prior poll Jan. 27)

Approve 44 (+7)
Disapprove 52 (-7)

Recent low approvals of President Trump may reflect the belief that he could be successful in doing great damage to American political life. So do his approvals go up if he is frustrated at such?

Maybe. Perhaps he has become less scary even if he is also perceived as less effective.

You guys are really great. Better than the right at staying on a negative message.

You have just surmised that President Trump's approval may be going up as a result of him doing a bad job. Basically, "Trump's so bad, his approvals go up!"

You guys are really good. I'm being honest. The spin masters.