Advice for President Obama (user search)
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Author Topic: Advice for President Obama  (Read 2989 times)
Reaganfan
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« on: September 12, 2011, 04:27:10 PM »
« edited: September 12, 2011, 04:35:40 PM by Reaganfan »

Some have claimed that my unique perspective on things from politics to pop culture make me "America". Or that I epitomize many simple minded folks throughout the country who may vote either way in a Presidential election.

To have an honest discussion, I have some advice for President Obama. Clearly, the odds are stacked against him. If this were an incumbent Republican President, I know people like myself and Keystone Phil and Inks would be saying in conversations almost jokingly, "You know we have no shot, right?" to which an agreeing chuckle would follow. This was much the case throughout 2007 and 2008 when despite the ups and downs we all knew it was over. Indeed, on election night when Ohio was called for Obama, I remember being on the phone with Keystone Phil to which he laughed and said, "Ohio was called ALREADY!?!" and laughed. It was an acknowledgment of defeat that we knew was coming. Indeed, the Obama/Biden ticket is in much the same situation and I think insiders know it.

A few tips.

#1. Acknowledge the bad economy

When Obama tries to say things are tough but getting better, people don't believe him. Honestly, every few months things seem worse. Someone you know can't afford to buy a house, someone you know complains about high gas prices, tax season comes and knocks someone out. Every time they hear Barack Obama say things are "getting better" they get irritated. It's like someone having a broken leg with the bone sticking out and you saying, "It's okay, no big deal". Their response would be, "IT IS A BIG DEAL MY BONE IS STICKING OUT OF LEG YOU IDIOT!!!" I know it's a silly analogy, but it's true.

The only time Carter had a real shot of defeating Governor Reagan in 1980 was when he made acknowledgments of the bad situation and tried to offer new solutions. If Obama says things are getting better, or that we need to spend more money, it's done. Toast. Adios. Buona sera.

#2. Don't attack business

When the economy is down and businesses are prevailing, many people become interested in what is making those businesses tick. Don't attack Romney for saying, "Corporations are people". If you do that, you might garner a few thousand voters you probably already had in New York and Connecticut, but people in hard-hit Michigan or Pennsylvania and Ohio will be offended. "My father worked for a corporation. When Obama attacks them he is attacking my dad." I can see the ads against Obama now. I know liberals hate it, but it's true...corporations are composed of workers, people. If you attack corporations, you're attacking people and you will lose, potentially badly in states such as Michigan and Pennsylvania. Don't attack lower-paying jobs in Texas when many people in America can't get a job at all. You're attacking the little man, which is the only thing defending has allowed the Democratic Party to win three elections in the last 30 years.

#3. Don't misjudge the tea party

I do not consider myself a tea party conservative, but if I were running against a candidate who had the tea party backing, I'd be terrified. The turnout of these voters will be immense next year, and I can imagine a family in Iowa or Colorado or North Carolina registering their 18 year old sons and daughters and coming out in droves, carpools, and unprecedented turnout. Underestimate at your own risk.

That's my two cents.
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Reaganfan
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Posts: 14,236
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2011, 06:34:23 PM »

A looming recession is a solid bet, and the only other decent bet is a continuation of the current growth/unemployment (i.e., little growth or stagnation). In other words, Obama is finished. Some are still in denial, but such is life. The real question is whether or not you want Romney or Perry as the next president. In fact, many Democrats should change their registration to Republican so they can vote in the GOP's primary/caucus and choose whom they prefer.

I think the two pathways to victory:

Obama vs. Perry

Perry can play better in the heartland and the south, maybe winning areas such as Iowa and Ohio. Obama can hold on to the elitist vote in areas like Northern Virginia and Pennsylvania. Ohio might be trouble.

Obama vs. Romney

Romney pulls in much more votes out west to bring back Nevada or Colorado, hangs onto Missouri while pulling in New Hampshire and Michigan, and wins Florida. Might have a harder time than Perry in Ohio though.
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