Maine is more likely to at least give one electoral vote, considering how its votes can be split based on the way the congressional districts vote.
Yes, I should have clarified. By winning Maine, I meant at least winning the two at-large electoral votes, which in effect would guarantee that the winner obtains at least three.
Nope. The popular vote winner is only guaranteed two delegates. Think about it...
True, although for practical purposes, in the absence of a very strong third party showing, the state winner will win 3 or more.