NC: Rasmussen: Romney +6

[Franzl]

Rasmussen really is contradicting other firms a lot....

So either they're a genius and most other firms are wrong, or something is wrong with Rasmussen at the moment.

The latter is more likely....but I'm not certain of it.

[Franzl]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

[Franzl]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Romney might have the modeling right (at least for NC).  He might also be catch an uptick. 

Because Rasmussen has such a great track record in North Carolina?

[Franzl]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Massive oversampling of dems...but even those show a slight romney win or tie

Don't know why I didn't previously have you on ignore, but better late than never. Good bye.

[Franzl]

Romney probably wins it slightly this time. But only by 1-3.

Considering that Virginia is relatively close, I have trouble believing Obama is actually ahead in North Carolina, so I agree, Romney likely wins it. But it's not the safe Romney state people (J.J. and some of the trolls) are claiming.