Illinois Primary Thread

[Franzl]

Dillard and McKenna are now virtually tied.

oh, Badger: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/IL_Governor_0202.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Franzl]

We haven't had something like this in Illinois for a very long time.

[Franzl]

McKenna and Brady are in the conservative wing of the party and Dillard is more of a moderate, right?

edit: Brady surges ahead by 1000 votes

Yes basically, although I find Brady a little more tolerable than McKenna.

[Franzl]

I don't think Brady can win. DuPage still has a LOT to report, and he's at 5% there.

[Franzl]

203 out of 749 from DuPage reporting.  I kind of doubt Brady can hold it either.

Ill_Ind

Who would benefit, Mckenna or Dillard?

Not entirely clear, but Dillard probably. Ryan is very strong there as well, but he isn't going to win anymore.

[Franzl]

DuPage + Cook together make up a majority of outstanding votes.

I think Quinn may pull it out after all.

[Franzl]

What a crazy primary!

[Franzl]

Dillard in the lead now

Good work DuPage!!

[Franzl]

I've never seen anything like this before....anywhere.

[Franzl]

Dillard in the lead now

Dillard vs. Quinn is probably the worst matchup for the Democrats.

If that's the matchup, then I'm supporting Dillard.

Gross, don't do that. It's important that we control the Governor in Illinois to counteract Republican gerrymanders in OH, PA, TX, FL...

See, and for me it's the other way around. If Hynes ends up winning....then I'm supporting Dillard

[Franzl]

BTW, check this out! A 60 vote difference for Comptroller!

D. Miller 354,494
R. Krishnamoorthi 354,436
 

[Franzl]

God almighty

[Franzl]

It's Quinn vs. Brady.

[Franzl]

Even though he's trailing by a fairly stable 0.6%, Hynes is planning to demand a recount.

[Franzl]

Quinn's lead is getting larger. (11118/11215 reporting)

Quinn 451,702 (50.4%)
Hynes 444,500 (49.6%)

Frankly, I don't see what Hynes wants to do at this point. He's almost losing by an entire percentage point, and it's very unlikely that a recount would change anything.


The Republican side, however, is still ridiculously close. (11118/11215 reporting)

Brady 154,646 (20.31%)
Dillard 154,143 (20.25%)
McKenna 146,614 (19.26%)
Ryan 129,686 (17.04%)
Andrzejewski 109,954 (14.44%)

This is almost certainly heading to a recount....but almost all the outstanding precints are in Cook County, as cinyc said.

Brady is currently at 5% in Cook. Dillard is at 18%. It's very possible that Dillard could still overtake him.

[Franzl]

Quinn's lead is getting larger. (11118/11215 reporting)

Quinn 451,702 (50.4%)
Hynes 444,500 (49.6%)

Frankly, I don't see what Hynes wants to do at this point. He's almost losing by an entire percentage point, and it's very unlikely that a recount would change anything.


The Republican side, however, is still ridiculously close. (11118/11215 reporting)

Brady 154,646 (20.31%)
Dillard 154,143 (20.25%)
McKenna 146,614 (19.26%)
Ryan 129,686 (17.04%)
Andrzejewski 109,954 (14.44%)

This is almost certainly heading to a recount....but almost all the outstanding precints are in Cook County, as cinyc said.

Brady is currently at 5% in Cook. Dillard is at 18%. It's very possible that Dillard could still overtake him.

Are the absentee votes counted yet?

Those could make a difference in both races.

Absentee ballots that arrive on or before Election Day are counted on Election Day in Illinois, and the results are released with the normal precinct results after the polls close.

There are probably some late arriving absentee ballots postmarked before Election Day but not yet received by elections officials, but I doubt that they make up a very large proportion of absentee ballots.

[Franzl]

Quinn's lead is getting larger. (11118/11215 reporting)

Quinn 451,702 (50.4%)
Hynes 444,500 (49.6%)

Frankly, I don't see what Hynes wants to do at this point. He's almost losing by an entire percentage point, and it's very unlikely that a recount would change anything.


The Republican side, however, is still ridiculously close. (11118/11215 reporting)

Brady 154,646 (20.31%)
Dillard 154,143 (20.25%)
McKenna 146,614 (19.26%)
Ryan 129,686 (17.04%)
Andrzejewski 109,954 (14.44%)

This is almost certainly heading to a recount....but almost all the outstanding precints are in Cook County, as cinyc said.

Brady is currently at 5% in Cook. Dillard is at 18%. It's very possible that Dillard could still overtake him.

Are the absentee votes counted yet?

Those could make a difference in both races.

Absentee ballots that arrive on or before Election Day are counted on Election Day in Illinois, and the results are released with the normal precinct results after the polls close.

There are probably some late arriving absentee ballots postmarked before Election Day but not yet received by elections officials, but I doubt that they make up a very large proportion of absentee ballots.

There are also provisional ballots that need to be counted. The race is close enough that late absentee and provisional ballots could swing the election. Even differences between official and unofficial counts in the counties could be significant in the race.

I may be wrong...but I seem to remember that Illinois has a very low acceptance rate of provisional ballots.

[Franzl]

Are the absentee votes counted yet?

Those could make a difference in both races.

Absentee ballots that arrive on or before Election Day are counted on Election Day in Illinois, and the results are released with the normal precinct results after the polls close.

There are probably some late arriving absentee ballots postmarked before Election Day but not yet received by elections officials, but I doubt that they make up a very large proportion of absentee ballots.

There are also provisional ballots that need to be counted. The race is close enough that late absentee and provisional ballots could swing the election. Even differences between official and unofficial counts in the counties could be significant in the race.

I may be wrong...but I seem to remember that Illinois has a very low acceptance rate of provisional ballots.

That's true, but the margin between Brady and Dillard may be close enough for them to matter.

Regardless though, it seems to me as if just the outstanding votes alone might be enough for Dillard to overtake Brady.

Brady is only at 5% in Cook County. I'm not sure exactly which precincts haven't been counted yet, but I'd think that 500 votes could easily be gained even before late-arriving absentees and provisionals.

[Franzl]

How moderate are Brady, Dillard and McKenna? By his geography, I assume Brady is a crazy.

Dillard is the most moderate, and is someone I would seriously consider voting for in the general, if that gives you any idea

McKenna, in my opinion, isn't as moderate as he claims......but even Brady isn't really entirely crazy like the Polish guy.....I'd call him a standard conservative.

[Franzl]

Chicago Board of elections now reporting everything except 1 precinct.

Dillard +115
Brady +45

Net gain for Dillard 70.

It's over for the first count.  Suburban Cook is in and so is all of Chicago except 1 precinct.

We'll now see what happens with the official count.

Ill Ind

What does that do to the Democratic race? the AP isn't reporting that yet.

[Franzl]

Chicago Board of elections now reporting everything except 1 precinct.

Dillard +115
Brady +45

Net gain for Dillard 70.

It's over for the first count.  Suburban Cook is in and so is all of Chicago except 1 precinct.

We'll now see what happens with the official count.

Ill Ind

What does that do to the Democratic race? the AP isn't reporting that yet.

Never mind...did it myself with the local websites.

Quinn should be up by 7933 votes, as far as I can see.

[Franzl]

So how many votes does Brady lead by?

Somewhere around 400

[Franzl]

Are the AP's numbers's the most recent?

The AP numbers still have like 70 missing precincts from Chicago....but they're actually already counted, according to Cook County officials, and the results are posted on their websites.

So actually 100% of precincts are reporting.

[Franzl]

So where can I get all results together, not just the Cook County precincts?

I don't think you can.

You just have to calculate the votes gained through the last precincts in Chicago and add that to the AP numbers.

[Franzl]

I know. But unlike you guys, I actually have a life. Surprising, isn't it?

Then why the hell do you want the results at all? Just piss off then if you're too lazy to do any work yourself.