How can Democrats flip Nebraska?

[walleye26]

While statewide is solidly red for the time being, Democrats might have a few openings by the early 2030s if they play their cards right, especially depending how Redistricting goes and if trends continue.

Would Nebraska statewide be competitive if the following conditions happen:
1) The rurals continue to shrink (R’s are maxed out here anyway; some counties vote over 90% R).
2) Omaha and Lincoln continue to grow at a healthy pace, and get a bit bluer.
3) Dems flip Sarpy County (which continues to grow).
4) Dems flip Thurston back, and manage to increase their showing with Hispanics moving in (places like Dakota county).

I would think under this scenario statewide would be pretty close. Douglas + Lancaster + Sarpy are already 56% of the state population, and there’s room to grow in the metros, whereas the R’s can’t grow too much more in the rurals.

[walleye26]

Get college+ white vote truly nationalized.  This would flip NE and KS.  I am bullish on Democrats in the Plains states that have larger cities.  NE/KS/MT are on par with the West Coast and almost as high as the core Northeast in % college graduates!

This is kind of what I was thinking. NE and KS are more urban than people would think. ND, SD, WY, and IA just have too large of a rural population that trends don’t matter.