US House Redistricting: Washington (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: Washington (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Washington  (Read 85224 times)
Meeker
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« Reply #25 on: September 14, 2011, 10:17:22 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on September 14, 2011, 09:47:20 PM
So are there demographic and political numbers for the proposed districts anywhere?

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/09/14/1016954/-Washington-Redistricting:-Numbers?via=sidebytagfeed
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Meeker
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« Reply #26 on: November 19, 2011, 03:24:19 PM »
You have quite the long wait to go, I'm afraid.
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Meeker
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« Reply #27 on: December 16, 2011, 01:16:36 AM »
There's a meeting Friday morning where something very close to the final lines for the LD's (except Eastern WA and Seattle) will be revealed. Further patience is required for the final LD lines and anything on the CD front. Smiley
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Meeker
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« Reply #28 on: December 16, 2011, 06:30:34 PM »
They claim they'll have something on Tuesday but I'm pretty skeptical about that.
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Meeker
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« Reply #29 on: December 19, 2011, 01:38:17 PM »
No congressional district maps tomorrow.
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Meeker
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« Reply #30 on: December 19, 2011, 11:48:39 PM »
I would not expect anything before Christmas, frankly.
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Meeker
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« Reply #31 on: December 22, 2011, 08:34:22 PM »
They met again today and say they're close. Meeting scheduled for tomorrow has been cancelled; next meeting on Tuesday. I don't expect them to have anything then but I also wouldn't be surprised.
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Meeker
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« Reply #32 on: December 28, 2011, 07:07:56 PM »
My thoughts: While this map is obviously not the best for Democrats, anyone who was really expecting that was being kind of foolish. Regardless of the partisan make-up of the state, the Democrats and Republicans have equal power in our redistricting process and so concessions were obviously going to have to be made to the Republicans compared to a "fair" map. I also think the 1st is winnable with the right candidate, so we could very well end up with a 6-4 map in the end which I think is pretty reasonable.
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Meeker
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« Reply #33 on: December 29, 2011, 03:27:55 AM »
I calculated some numbers for the 10th CD.

2010 Senate: Murray 52.8%, Rossi 47.2%
2008 President: Obama 57.2%, McCain 41.0%, Others 1.8%
2008 Governor: Gregoire 54.3%, Rossi 45.7%
2004 President: Kerry 52.3%, Bush 46.2%, Others 1.6%

The Cook PVI is D+4
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Meeker
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« Reply #34 on: December 31, 2011, 04:01:55 PM »
The Redistricting Commission still hasn't been able to come to a compromise on the Eastern Washington legislative districts... nor have they resolved the legislative districts that fall on the Pierce/King County lines. The commissioners are only allowed to approve a plan that includes both Congressional and legislative maps, so if they aren't able to compromise in the next 35 hours then the whole thing goes to the State Supreme Court.

I'm confident they'll come up with a map... but the clock is ticking.
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Meeker
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« Reply #35 on: December 31, 2011, 05:32:12 PM »
Quote from: CultureKing on December 31, 2011, 05:29:45 PM
Honestly I would prefer a court-drawn map myself.

...So go dead-lock!!! Whoot!
Don't they only have until today (when is the deadline)?

They have until 11:59 PM tomorrow.
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Meeker
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« Reply #36 on: December 31, 2011, 08:27:48 PM »
Commission has been in recess since 2 this afternoon and has extended the recess several times; strong signal that they're making progress on something.
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Meeker
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« Reply #37 on: January 01, 2012, 01:47:18 AM »
Crisis averted; compromise Eastern WA plan has been posted. Dems get their majority-minority district in the Yakima Valley.
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Meeker
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« Reply #38 on: January 01, 2012, 12:06:05 PM »
Yeah, on closer inspection it's not the majority-minority district Dems had been pushing but a watered down version.
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Meeker
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« Reply #39 on: January 01, 2012, 12:46:52 PM »
Your definition of "Republicans winning" seems to be "Democrats not getting everything they wanted".
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Meeker
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« Reply #40 on: January 01, 2012, 01:19:13 PM »
I don't really see how the Republicans got everything they wanted but I can tell we're not going to agree.

I guess I'm just easier to please. The CD map will probably yield a 6-4 delegation, likely the same result as a court drawn map. Democratic chances in the legislature are also going to be influenced far more by retirements and candidate recruitment than these maps. We can definitely have majorities in both chambers next year if we play our cards correctly.
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Meeker
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« Reply #41 on: January 01, 2012, 02:38:53 PM »
I suspect Suzan DelBene (Reichert's 2010 opponent) will end up being our nominee.
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Meeker
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« Reply #42 on: January 01, 2012, 03:41:19 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on January 01, 2012, 02:49:26 PM
^ No, not really.

Quote from: Meeker on January 01, 2012, 02:38:53 PM
I suspect Suzan DelBene (Reichert's 2010 opponent) will end up being our nominee.

You think shes willing to drop a couple million again? lol

I've got no insider information but I suspect so. Pretty easy to win a divided primary if you dump in $2 million.
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Meeker
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« Reply #43 on: January 01, 2012, 03:43:11 PM »

The 1st. DelBene's home in Medina was conveniently drawn into it. Almost as if it was intentionally drawn so she lived in it...
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Meeker
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« Reply #44 on: January 01, 2012, 07:31:43 PM »
Are those 2010 numbers?
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Meeker
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« Reply #45 on: January 01, 2012, 08:37:05 PM »
Final map will be presented at 7.
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Meeker
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« Reply #46 on: January 01, 2012, 11:05:31 PM »
Found these nuggets in an article from The Olympian:

Quote
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Meeker
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« Reply #47 on: January 01, 2012, 11:13:47 PM »
In 1991 they didn't vote until 11:15, so they're still ahead of schedule!
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Meeker
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« Reply #48 on: January 02, 2012, 10:22:30 AM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on January 02, 2012, 10:15:51 AM
Is there a Spokane Democratic legislative district?

Yes, the 3rd LD which is the urban core of the city. The Senate Majority Leader is actually from there.

Democrats have also held the Senate seat and both House seats in the 6th LD for varying amounts of time since 2006 but currently hold no seats there.
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Meeker
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« Reply #49 on: January 02, 2012, 03:00:14 PM »
Kind of tough to describe it; includes part of the City of Spokane itself plus some surrounding area.

See here: http://redistricting.wa.gov/assets/maps/FINAL_010112_Plans/Legislative/final_legislative_plan_statewide.pdf

And here:
http://redistricting.wa.gov/assets/maps/FINAL_010112_Plans/Legislative/LD_Draft_Handout_Insets.pdf
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