Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Final Predictions

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Here are my exhaustive predictions for the primary:

Governor:

Creigh Deeds - 38
Terry McAuliffe - 32
Brian Moran - 30

Lt. Governor:

Jody Wagner - 67
Mike Signer - 25
Jon Bowerbank - 8

Democratic House primary winners:

11th: Onzlee Ware (incumbent)
25th: Greg Marrow
35th: Mark Keam
38th: Bob Hull (incumbent)
47th: Adam Parkhomenko
52nd: Luke Torian
69th: Carlos Brown
80th: Matthew James
90th: Algie Howell (incumbent)

Republican House primary winners:

17th: Chris Head
23rd: Scott Garrett
55th: John Cox

Edited to up Bowerbank's percentage, because nobody seems to realize he's not running anymore.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I feel that my lg prediction was irrationally exuberant regarding bowerbank's support. I'll say 68-30 wagner instead.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Okay, nobody else cares, but let's see how I did.

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Way off. Wasn't expecting this blowout.

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My amended prediction, actually too conservative for Wagner, who won with a 74-21 margin.

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Bob Hull lost narrowly. Parkhomenko was crushed by Patrick Hope (proving once again, never bet against the guy Not Larry Sabato hates). Carlos Brown lost to Betsy Carr by 2%. I got the rest right. So, 6/9.

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Garrett and Cox won, but the 17th went for Bill Cleaveland over Chris Head, who came in second. 2/3.

I get a 67% for House predictions. Not bad, but not outstanding either.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

i haven't been paying attention to Virginia, I though Cray was the underdog, and McAuliffe was in the lead?

Creigh Deeds jumped into the lead over the last two weeks following months of fighting between Moran and McAuliffe and the endorsement of Deeds by the Washington Post.