2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (user search)
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  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 85831 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,798


« Reply #25 on: April 24, 2012, 09:10:45 PM »

Schuylkill's out of votes, and all of Northampton and most of Luzerne are still out, so Cartwright wins.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #26 on: April 25, 2012, 06:51:38 AM »

Murphy wasn't exactly a favorite; Kane spent a ton of money and got Bill Clinton's endorsement.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #27 on: May 05, 2012, 05:35:09 PM »

What's going on Tuesday? Nothing in West Virginia, but in Indiana Dick Lugar looks to be on his way out. There are also de facto general elections on the Republican side in the open IN-05 and IN-06. There's a former Congressman running in IN-05, David McIntosh.

In North Carolina, Republicans have primaries in NC-07, 08, 09, 11, and 13. Democrats have a gubernatorial primary.

Oh, also there's the primary for the Wisconsin recall.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #28 on: May 07, 2012, 07:59:17 PM »

Precinct maps of the PA-12 and PA-17 Dem primaries:



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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #29 on: May 08, 2012, 05:33:20 PM »

AP results are here. Mourdock up 56-44 with a handful of precincts in.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #30 on: May 08, 2012, 06:04:19 PM »

Anyone have any feelings about how well Lugar will do in Indianapolis region.  I'm guessing he'll win that area, and if thats the case how much of a cushion does Mourdoch need in the rest of the state?

It's not looking like Lugar is going to win anywhere but Indianapolis.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #31 on: May 08, 2012, 06:19:28 PM »

Wow, this is just sad.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #32 on: May 08, 2012, 07:43:47 PM »

IN-05 is really close; David McIntosh is about 140 votes ahead of Susan Brooks.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #33 on: May 08, 2012, 08:03:32 PM »

Dalton has extended his lead to 45-38.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #34 on: May 08, 2012, 08:47:55 PM »

Barrett is beating Falk by double-digits in Dane County. Wow, that's gotta hurt.

Disappointing (but not surprising) that amendment one will pass in NC.

As for Lugar, did he win any counties?

Boone and Marion; he's winning Hamilton with about 1/5th in and is a few votes ahead in Tippecanoe with about 4/5ths in.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #35 on: May 12, 2012, 05:52:50 PM »

Yeah, so, not much going on next week. The only thing of note, really, is the Republican primary for NE-Sen, but that appears to be a fairly dull affair with Jon Bruning comfortably ahead of the other two.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #36 on: May 15, 2012, 04:30:11 PM »

Okay, so maybe I spoke too soon in regards to NE-Sen. Fischer is ahead in two primary polls (caveats: taken over Mother's Day weekend, and Nebraska apparently has early voting).
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #37 on: May 15, 2012, 08:35:50 PM »

Nebraska results. Currently 40-35 for Bruning. Interestingly, Fischer is winning Douglas County (Omaha). Bruning is winning most other places, though.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #38 on: May 15, 2012, 09:25:31 PM »

Bruning is only ahead by 1,300 votes now. The rural counties are coming in strong for Fischer.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #39 on: May 15, 2012, 09:30:20 PM »

600 vote margin now.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #40 on: May 20, 2012, 06:47:26 AM »

Next Tuesday's primaries of note are on the Republican side in AR-04 and KY-04. That's about it.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #41 on: May 22, 2012, 06:11:17 PM »

KY-04 is looking good for Thomas Massie over Alecia Webb-Edgington. He's up 47-27 with about 20% in. It's apparently a victory of the (Rand) Paulites over the establishment.

With less than 1% in Kentucky, Obama is getting 64% against uncommitted and winning almost twice as many votes as Mitt Romney.

Re-read the thread title.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #42 on: May 22, 2012, 08:44:49 PM »

Meanwhile in AR-01, Clark Hall is losing to some guy who raised about $50k.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #43 on: May 22, 2012, 09:15:20 PM »

It'll be kind of silly if this heads to a runoff because of that other guy and his 3-4% of the vote.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #44 on: May 23, 2012, 06:53:08 AM »

AR-01 goes to a runoff. Good job drawing that 4-0 Republican map, guys.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #45 on: May 26, 2012, 09:08:13 PM »

Texas coming up on Tuesday. On the Republican side, the big enchilada is the Senate primary, where David Dewhurst seems likely to get into a runoff with Ted Cruz, unless Tom Leppert comes from behind and pulls off a second-place finish. Other Republican primaries to watch are the open TX-14 and newly-Republican TX-25 and TX-36. The Democrats have primaries in TX-23 and the newly-Democratic TX-33 and TX-34 (protip: don't pick the indicted DA in the latter).
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #46 on: May 29, 2012, 08:24:13 PM »

Early results... Dewhurst at 47%.

Some weird results in the House primaries. Steve Stockman, former one-term Congressman, is leading the pack in TX-36 with 27% despite raising nearly no money. Surely he can't have that much residual name recognition?

Also, I thought Michael Williams was supposed to be a big up-and-comer. He's currently at 5% in TX-25, behind five other candidates.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #47 on: May 29, 2012, 08:43:41 PM »

Wow, Silvestre Reyes is suddenly in trouble. Early vote has his opponent beating him 51-43.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #48 on: May 30, 2012, 04:30:24 PM »

There was one a week ago by the ABQ Journal. It was 51-26 Heinrich, which was the same as PPP's last poll of the race. I'm not bothering to link the news article because it's behind a paywall.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #49 on: June 02, 2012, 10:49:28 AM »

I'm not even going to try to summarize California, so here's what's interesting in the rest of 6/5's primaries:

Iowa - Nothing; there are Republican primaries in IA-01 and 02, but those seats are not likely to be competitive in November.

Montana - Governor on the R side, MT-AL on the D side (though this one will probably not end up being competitive in November either)

New Jersey - Pascrell v. Rothman in NJ-09, open NJ-10 (D).

New Mexico - NM-Sen and NM-01, both on the D side.

South Dakota - Nothing.
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