OR-01 special election: primary 11/8, general 1/31/12 (user search)
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  OR-01 special election: primary 11/8, general 1/31/12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OR-01 special election: primary 11/8, general 1/31/12  (Read 7571 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« on: August 18, 2011, 06:00:19 PM »
Time for an official thread. The filing deadline passed already; 13 candidates filed to run. I italicized the ones that have a shot at winning their respective primary:

Democrats:
Saba Ahmed
Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian
State Sen. Suzanne Bonamici
Dominic Hammon
Robert Lettin
Todd Lee Ritter
Dan Strite
State Rep. Brad Witt

Republicans:
'10 nominee Rob Cornilles
D. R. Delgado-Morgan
perennial candidate Pavel Goberman
'02 nominee Jim Greenfield
Lisa Michaels
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2011, 07:29:25 AM »
Huge fundraising numbers for Bonamici and Cornilles:

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2011, 09:59:35 PM »
SUSA poll has huge leads for Cornilles and Bonamici in the primaries.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2011, 06:59:40 PM »
This one's been a bit of a snorefest, huh? Well, at least something happened, Bonamici was cross-endorsed by the Independent Party.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2011, 07:03:55 PM »
They did actually have a primary of sorts (some kind of thing where members had to mail their ballot to the party along with a photocopy of their photo ID). According to their website, she won 56-31 over Cornilles. Of course, that's votes, not percent...
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #5 on: December 08, 2011, 06:32:36 PM »
DCCC is spending $440k on anti-Cornilles ads. Guess they're not taking any chances after NY-09.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #6 on: December 14, 2011, 09:02:53 PM »
DKE/PPP are doing a poll of this race.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #7 on: January 17, 2012, 06:43:35 PM »
They're only spending $85k or so. Not impressed.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2012, 08:18:02 AM »
Supposedly the partisan breakdown of ballots returned so far is 48D-34R-18I. If true, this probably won't be close.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #9 on: January 30, 2012, 10:09:50 PM »
I'll predict a 57-40 Bonamici win.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #10 on: February 01, 2012, 08:04:37 AM »
Wow, turnout was over 200,000. Pretty good for a special election.
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