US House Redistricting: Indiana

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Here's a map I did of Indiana.



The Indianapolis district is pretty much the same as it was last time. The blue district takes in South Bend. The other seven districts are intended to be fairly Republican (i.e. around 53-55% for McCain). I split Bloomington between the 8th and 9th districts, and ran both of them up to the uber-Republican Indy suburbs. Aside from the 8th, the map even looks fairly decent.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

If you have a saved map, it will open up with whatever numbers you were using before. You'd have to redo it to update it with the 2010 census numbers.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

And here's what the Republicans have proposed:

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I tried to crunch the numbers for IN-02, 08, and 09, but I couldn't find any precinct-level data, so I had to leave split counties out:

Without LaPorte and Kosciusko, the new IN-02 went 49.7 - 48.9 Obama. I don't know the partisan leanings of the part of LaPorte that was left in, but Kosciusko is heavily Republican, so it probably flips to a McCain district, although barely.

IN-08 actually got improved slightly, it's now 50.5 - 48.0 McCain, where before it was 51-47 McCain.

IN-09, on the other hand, is strengthened for the Republicans. Without the parts of Morgan and Scott, it's 51.8 - 46.8 McCain, and with those two it probably ups the Republican performance by a percent or so.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

This map is to conciliatory to the Dems. Though it does put Indy in play for the GOP.

No it doesn't.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

This map is to conciliatory to the Dems. Though it does put Indy in play for the GOP.

No it doesn't.

It would put Rokita in a race against Carson.
Tea Party for the flip IN-7

Yeah, because Rokita wouldn't just run in his current district.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

The numbers from DKE:

IN-01 - 63.3 Obama, 35.8 McCain
IN-02 - 49.6 Obama, 49.3 McCain
IN-03 - 56.0 McCain, 43.0 Obama
IN-04 - 54.2 McCain, 44.6 Obama
IN-05 - 52.6 McCain, 46.6 Obama
IN-06 - 55.0 McCain, 43.6 Obama
IN-07 - 66.3 Obama, 32.8 McCain
IN-08 - 50.6 McCain, 48.1 Obama
IN-09 - 52.7 McCain, 46.2 Obama

IN-05 is made quite a bit more Democratic (it was 59-40 McCain); I guess they're expecting Dan Burton to get knocked out in the primary next year, since he's so disliked, he could make that seat competitive. And I'm still surprised they didn't do anything to IN-08, since it actually moved a hair to the Democrats.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

For fun, here's a Dem gerrymander:



Blue - 59-40 Obama
Green - 56-43 Obama
Purple - 62-37 McCain
Red - 55-44 Obama
Yellow - 59-39 McCain
Teal - 58-41 McCain
Grey - 68-31 Obama
Light Purple - 53-46 Obama
Sky Blue - 57-41 McCain