DE: Public Policy Polling: Coons with Solid Lead over O'Donnell in Delaware (user search)

JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,798

Re: DE: Public Policy Polling: Coons with Solid Lead over O'Donnell in Delaware

« on: September 15, 2010, 05:37:18 PM »

Quote from: wormyguy on September 15, 2010, 02:15:53 PM

The first poll for Manchin v. Raese had a larger margin.

O'Donnell doesn't have personal wealth she can use to blanket the state with ads.

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,798

Re: DE: Public Policy Polling: Coons with Solid Lead over O'Donnell in Delaware

« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2010, 07:03:25 AM »

Even if O'Donnell were to win independents 2-1, she'd still have to pull in about 20% of Democrats to win in Delaware. Which seems somewhat unlikely.

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,798

Re: DE: Public Policy Polling: Coons with Solid Lead over O'Donnell in Delaware

« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2010, 02:28:14 PM »

Quote from: SPC on September 19, 2010, 10:52:49 AM

Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on September 19, 2010, 07:03:25 AM

Even if O'Donnell were to win independents 2-1, she'd still have to pull in about 20% of Democrats to win in Delaware. Which seems somewhat unlikely.

Is this assuming it's a high turnout election?

Does it matter? Democrats make up 47% of registered voters. Even if you assume Republicans turn out in a higher proportion, it still requires a Republican to win a significant chunk of Democrats to win statewide.

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