Oppenheimer wins 7 Oscars (Best Picture) (film & awards)

[T'Chenka]

We've got some more awards shows tonight that might hint towards where certain Oscar categories are going. I'll come back and edit this post with the winners of relevant categories.

Director's Guild Awards
- Best Director - 1917

Annie Awards
- Best Animated Feature - Klaus
- Best Animated Short - (not one of the Oscar nominees)

American Society Of Cinematographers Awards
- Best Cinematography - 1917

Cinema Audio Society Awards
- Best Sound Editing - Ford V Ferrari
- Best Sound Mixing - Ford V Ferrari

[T'Chenka]

I'm watching The Lighthouse again right now. What an absolute f__king disgrace that the Oscars didn't nominate Willam Dafoe for Best Supporting Actor. Dafoe is the most deserving nominee out of all of them, followed by Hanks and Hopkins. Pitt, Pesce and to a lesser extent Pacino were good, but not as good as the hype in my eyes.

[T'Chenka]

Where does SNL get off calling something as beautiful as "The Irishman" a white male rage movie? Where did such lack of taste/absolute derangement come from? Do these 'comedians' just get pleasure from irking everybody? I really fail to understand this culture.

The Irishman should be co-movie of the decade

It's SNL... don't they usually just poke fun at things? I don't see a problem unless they're being 100% serious.

[T'Chenka]

THE GENTLEMEN (no spoilers)

PROS
- Good cast of characters
- Good comedic moments
- Hugh Grant and Colin Farrell were great
- Constant fast pace makes it never boring

CONS
- Action was okay but not great, not a huge amount
- If movie slowed a bit you'd care for the characters more
- Plot was complex therefore slightly hard to follow (not too bad though)
- Henry Golding and Charlie Hunham characters slightly 2-dimensional

OVERALL SCORE - B plus (almost a B but slightly better)

[T'Chenka]

Tonight was the Costume Designers Guild Awards

Excellence In Period Film - Jojo Rabbit
Excellence In Contemporary Film - Knives Out
Excellence In Sci-Fi / Fantasy Film - Maleficent: Mistress Of Evil

All 5 of the Oscar nominees for Best Costume Design are period films. Little Women was the favourite before tonight, with Once Upon A Time In Hollywood looking like a strong second choice and with The Irishman and Jojo Rabbit in the mix. The fifth nominee was Joker, which a lot of people were shocked by, as Dolemite Is My Name was snubbed. To a lesser extent, Rocketman and Downton Abbey were expected to possibly make the cut, but did not.

The new situation looks like Jojo Rabbit or Little Women will win, with Once Upon A Time In Hollywood or The Irishman being potential surprise wins and Joker still being the least likely to win.

[T'Chenka]

Watching Parasite for the second time ever, this time in my living room. I forgot how good the cinematography was and also some of the acting performances (KIM FATHER! PARK MOTHER! Kim mother, Kim son, Park father, housemaid).

Noticed in the dialogue 3 times:

"It's so metaphorical."
"This is so metaphorical."
"It's so metaphorical".

To steal a line from a movie review I read: "Another Bong Hit!"

[T'Chenka]

Parasite wins Original Screenplay and Jojo Rabbit wins Adapted Screenplay at the Writers Guild Awards.

Here's how the three big categories that you need at least one win from the get Best Picture (95% of the time anyways) are shaping up...

DIRECTOR
1917 (or Parasite)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Hollywood or Parasite (or Marriage Story)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Little Women or Jojo Rabbit (or The Irishman)

NOMINATED, VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN
- Joker (Director & Adapted Screenplay)

NOT NOMINATED, ABSOLUTELY WILL NOT WIN
- Ford V Ferrari


So, if we want to look at paths to winning Best Picture, we have...

1917 (Easier Path) - Director
1917 (Harder Path) - Original Screenplay

PARASITE (Easier Path) - Original Screenplay
PARASITE (Harder Path) - Director

HOLLYWOOD (Easier Path) - Original Screenplay
HOLLYWOOD (Harder Path) - Director

THE IRISHMAN (Easier Path) - Adapted Screenplay
THE IRISHMAN (Harder Path) - Director

JOJO RABBIT - Adapted Screenplay

LITTLE WOMEN - Adapted Screenplay

MARRIAGE STORY - Original Screenplay

JOKER (Easier Path) - Adapted Screenplay
JOKER (Harder Path) - Director

FORD V FERRARI - has no path to Best Picture

[T'Chenka]

BAFTA Awards results (Oscar-relevant categories)

This is it. Next and final awards ceremony is the Academy Awards on Sunday @ 8PM Eastern.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST PICTURE
1917

BEST DIRECTOR
1917

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Parasite

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Jojo Rabbit

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST ACTOR
Joker - Joaquin Phoenix

BEST ACTRESS
Judy - Renee Zellweger

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood - Brad Pitt

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Marriage Story - Laura Dern

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Parasite

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Klaus

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
For Sama

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1917

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1917

BEST EDITING
Ford V Ferrari

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1917

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Little Women

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Bombshell

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST SOUND EDITING
1917

BEST SOUND MIXING
1917

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Joker

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

[T'Chenka]

I finally saw Parasite. It's my new personal favorite movie of the year, edging out Jojo Rabbit, and unlike Jojo Rabbit I can actually see it winning best picture because 1. it has the ever-elusive quality of "buzz" and 2. it's less funny (although still very funny, at least in the first half) and the Academy is allergic to comedy. I think it's fair to say that it's not necessarily a character-driven movie as such, but not everything has to be; thrillers aren't a genre that (usually; something like Notorious would be an exception) can afford to luxuriate in meticulous character-building the way something like Marriage Story (or even 1917 with its see-sawing between gory trauma and rural idylls) can.

Despite the characters being somewhat two-dimensional, except for maybe Mr. Kim and Kevin, the actors do a REALLY good job of implying character depth with their performances. Especially Mrs. Park which is a performance I LOVED.

[T'Chenka]

Final Oscar Predictions

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST PICTURE
1917
*** I really want Parasite, but I predict 1917 ***

BEST DIRECTOR
1917 - Sam Mendes

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Parasite

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Jojo Rabbit

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST ACTOR
Joker - Joaquin Phoenix

BEST ACTRESS
Judy - Renee Zellweger

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood - Brad Pitt

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Marriage Story - Laura Dern
*** I really want Florence Pugh, but I predict Laura Dern ***

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Parasite

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Klaus

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
American Factory

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1917

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1917

BEST EDITING
Ford V Ferrari

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Little Women

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Bombshell

BEST SOUND EDITING
1917

BEST SOUND MIXING
1917

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Joker

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Rocketman - (I'm Gonna) Love Me Again

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Saria

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Kitbull

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Learning To Skateboard In A Warzone (If You're A Girl)

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

[T'Chenka]

Parasite won Screenplay
Jojo Rabbit won Screenplay

Once Upon In Hollywood has now sunk to arguably 4th place (almost 3rd) behind Jojo Rabbit in "most likely to win Best Picture". It's 90% (or higher) down to 1917 and Parasite now.

[T'Chenka]

Parasite gets Screenplay AND Director!!!

Best Picture is 95% guaranteed! WOW!!!

I'm so f__king happy. If I knew FOR SURE Parasite would get Best Picture, I would give Director to 1917 I think. But if this helps lock up Picture for Parasite, I'll f__king take it.

[T'Chenka]

Parasite is gonna win

Have you seen it? It's fantastic.

[T'Chenka]

and HERE... WE... GO! dot gif

[T'Chenka]

Congrats, #BongHive

Side Note: Of course, the Academy recognizes the first film by Bong Joon-Ho I've seen that I didn't absolutely love (Mother, Snowpiercer, The Host, and especially Okja were great).

I haven't seen Okja yet, but Snowpiercer's a bona fide masterpiece. I might rewatch it tomorrow.

I was disappointed by Okja other than the first act, but it was okay.

I'll admit my heresy publically here - I've never seen Snowpiercer (!) BUT I picked up a BluRay copy for very very cheap a couple if months ago. Will have to get around to watching it.

[T'Chenka]

"Best Picture" Rankings - 2010s

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Moonlight
Parasite [Gisaengchung]
Birdman (Or The Unexpected Virtue Of Ignorance)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
The Shape Of Water
Spotlight
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
The King's Speech
12 Years A Slave
The Artist
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Green Book
Argo
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

[T'Chenka]

Hahahahahahahahahaha

This guy yells and screams about how Joker should have won Best Picture and how Parasite isn't deserving, but then admits on camera that he hasn't seen Parasite and doesn't even know what it's about. The like to dislike ratio on the video is hilarious, as is the comments section.

https://youtu.be/lTr6sYWWCNI

[T'Chenka]

Not sure how much I want to see a movie called "Parasite,"  sometimes I get grossed out easily.

It's meant in a social / political way and not a biological / sci-fi way. There are no disgusting worms inside if people's bodies or anything remotely like that.

[T'Chenka]

I saw UNCUT GEMS the other day and it was really good. I give it 4/5 stars. Cinematography wasn't "really good" per se, but it was really unique, like the sound design and the whole movie overall actually.

[T'Chenka]

I saw UNCUT GEMS the other day and it was really good. I give it 4/5 stars. Cinematography wasn't "really good" per se, but it was really unique, like the sound design and the whole movie overall actually.

Did you ever see 'Good Time?' The previous film by these director brothers.

I saw Good Time, and honestly I was underwhelmed. I really appreciated many different aspects of it, but the plot kind of fell apart for me in the second half.

[T'Chenka]

The new Wes Anderson film "The French Dispatch" has one of the best casts ever assembled for a film. It comes out in July and is one of the early favourites for the Oscars (though it is insanely early and impossible to know at this point). The first official trailer dropped yesterday. It seems VERY much like The Grand Budapest Hotel in terms of style and humour. Hopefully it's a great film but I honestly can't tell from the trailer.


CAST LIST (in no particular order)

Saoirse Ronan
Bill Murray
Elisabeth Moss
Jason Schwartzman
Tilda Swinton
Benicio Del Toro
Léa Seydoux
Adrien Brody
Bob Balaban
Henry Winkler
Frances McDormand
Timothée Chalamet
Lyna Khoudri
Jeffrey Wright
Stephen Park
Mathieu Almaric
Willem Dafoe
Edward Norton
Owen Wilson
Cécile De France
Christoph Waltz
Liev Schreiber
Anjelica Huston
Griffin Dunne
Alex Lawther

[T'Chenka]

King TChenka got me curious about this subject, so here's one site's predictions on the next Oscar favorites, with their release month and a short explanation provided by me:

They should also have MINARI, which debuted 2 or 3 weeks ago at the Sundance Film Festival and won several awards. Lots of people are talking Oscars for it, and it has an average rating of 4.2 out of 5 stars on Letterboxd. There are reviews online already.

MINARI - Lee Isaac Chung’s “Minari” is a personal story of tradition and family set in 1980s Arkansas about a Korean American family moving to a rural region. But it gets its title from a vegetable or plant very common in Korean culture. --- Brian Welk - The Wrap.

By the way, Letterboxd is a GREAT website and app for movie-lovers, and I trust the average ratings there way more than Rotten Tomatoes or IMDB. I recommend anyone download it and we can follow each other, or just sign up at the website if you don't want to download an app. I have ranked lists from every year of movies and lists of upcoming movies I'm anticipating.

[T'Chenka]

I;m personally looking forward to seeing The Current War when it comes out.

I've been interested for 3 years now, but it got bad reviews and my hype has dropped considerably.

[T'Chenka]

I just saw Downsizing (2017), directed by Alexander Payne and starring Matt Damon.

... what the f__k was that? Has anybody else seen this trainwreck? Christ.

[T'Chenka]

Tonight, probably: Lost in Translation.

My controversial opinion:

A good, solid film that is generally overrated and deserves some but not all of the praise it gets.