Canada 2008: Official Thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 23, 2024, 01:57:08 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Canada 2008: Official Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Canada 2008: Official Thread  (Read 96524 times)
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

« on: October 01, 2008, 08:44:51 AM »

Wow @ Atlantic #'s. The NDP must be killing in Nova Scotia.

Nano's sample size in the Atlantic is about 100 voters over 3 days.. making the one day sample about 33 people.....

The margin of errror is thus about 17% for a daily sample....  You can "kinda sorta maybe" get a snapshot of what is happening in Atlantic Canada by lookng at the trend lines but the sample is so small as to be pretty much useless.

The NDP jumped 9% in one day, meaning the sample that rolled off was 25-30% worse than the sample that rolled on.. does a 25-30% shift in 3 days seem sane?

Lookng at the trendlines it "appears" the Grits and the Tories are pretty close with the NDP 3rd but gaining....

Anything beyond that is anybody's guess with a rolling sample of just 100 people....
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 12 queries.