http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/04/02/opinion/polls/main609944.shtml
In what must be the most inherently self contradictory poll I have seen in a while...
Nationally, Kerry is up 5 points, but in the 18 Battleground states Bush is up 2 points...
Delaware is a battleground state.. Even though Gore won by 13+% in 2000...?
Did something really big happen in Delaware that I missed...? (Perhaps a merger with Utah?)
For those of you have mastered math up to say, the grade 3 level, I will leave the anaylsis of this one up to you...
The "battleground states" that Bush leads by 2 points in include Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington, West Virginia, and Wisconsin..
These states make up almost exactly 40% of the nation's vote total, so in the other 60% of the nation Kerry must be up by just a hair under 10 points...
This poll was conducted among a nationwide random sample of 1,024 adults, interviewed by telephone March 30-April 1,2004. The sample included 834 registered voters. The error due to sampling could be plus or minus three percentage points for results based on the samples of registered voters and all adults. Results which may have been valid were surgically altered to resemble Saddam Huissen. The use of Tarot cards was employed to weight data that had been deemed unreliable by the use of dice and a roulette wheel. Next, as an additional confirmation, a double check was performed against "Big Fred's" famous 100% all beef foot long hotdog poll. Lastly, a random number generator, hooked to a rube/goldberg device was used to normalize all data.