Democrats lead by 3% on the Generic Ballot says Newsweek.

[The Vorlon]

Mr. Obama also has a +14 job approval, with 54% approving, while only 40% disapprove.

No doubt Mr. Obama will now be dispatched to West Virginia to shore up the campaign of Mr. Manchin.

http://nw-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/pdf/1006-Ftop.pdf

(Mr. Hayden may have a comment on this poll)

[The Vorlon]

Vorlon

How can any pollster put out a poll like this and hope to be taken credibly.  Wouldn't numbers like this require a repoll?

The Newsweek polls are so structurally (word Dave Leip won't let me say)ed  that, well, we throw this one out. Most folks have just given up on Newsweek.  These are the same folks who do, as an addition "lol" factor, the Star Tribune polls in Minnesota. 

They have state of the art polling methods, that worked wonderfully in, oh, about 1964 or so....  Things since then have... changed.... they have not.

Their subscriber base consists of Senior citizens in nursing homes where the executor of the living will has not gotten around to cancelling their subscription yet.

[The Vorlon]

Just about answers that.

Why do you think Republicans have stalled in the Senate polling even though the playing field looks to be expanding in the House?

I guess it is the difference between a "generic" republican and an actual candidate.

A "generic" republican would likely have won Delaware,.. "the Witch" likely will not.

Secondly, the Dem base will, at least in part, come home by election time.

To take Pennsylvania as an example, Mr. Obama won Pennsylvania by about 10 or 11 points as I recall.

Sestek is pretty moderate, and Toomey is a VERY conservative candidate.

The fact Toomey is, in a +11 Dem state, as a VERY conservative candidate, a few points ahead still represents a staggering shift. - What would it say about the nation if a Ted Kennedy Liberal was running competitively for the Dems in say Mississippi?

There are races "on the map" that 1 year ago were "fantasy island" for the GOP -  the fact a few of them tighten up as the Dem base comes home is hardly a shock.

[The Vorlon]

Just about answers that.

Why do you think Republicans have stalled in the Senate polling even though the playing field looks to be expanding in the House?

GOP has nominated nutters for Senate.

A shorter, more compact way of saying what I just said

I guess it is the difference between a "generic" republican and an actual candidate.

A "generic" republican would likely have won Delaware,.. "the Witch" likely will not.