S019
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Posts: 18,392
Political Matrix E: -4.13, S: -1.39
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« on: January 23, 2023, 07:00:40 PM » |
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The idea that Democrats are even close to being favored in MT, OH, and WV is laughable. PA I think is the only real uphill battle for Rs on this map. It’s very plausible that all of NV/AZ/WI/WV/OH/MT fall if Republicans win the White House and MI if Republicans flip the state. The problem in PA is Casey will probably outrun Biden by a bit, so Republicans probably need more of a 2-3 pt win there while a 1-2 pt win in WI+MI could suffice.
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