S019
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Posts: 18,406
Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39
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« on: September 07, 2022, 04:21:11 PM » |
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There's a real chance Johnson pulls enough voters from the Democrats to hand victory to Drazan. This is a race that I feel pretty concerned about, even if we have a good night in the end. Trump got 40% and the last three R Gov candidates got between 43-44%, Johnson is clearly pulling far more from Democrats than Republicans (just look at how badly Drazan is underperforming Kate Brown's 2016/2018 vote totals), which also suggests that there may be room for Drazan's support to grow. I honestly might move this to Tossup, this could be the year that Republicans finally win the OR Governorship.
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