LA-JMC: Edwards leads, tons of undecideds

[S019]

But muh-incumbency

Muh-elastic south

JBE will follow the path of Mary Landrieu, be competitive up until the jungle primary and then have nearly all the undecideds break against him during the runoff

56-44 Abraham over Edwards in Runoff (FLIP)

[S019]

But muh-incumbency

Muh-elastic south

JBE will follow the path of Mary Landrieu, be competitive up until the jungle primary and then have nearly all the undecideds break against him during the runoff

56-44 Abraham over Edwards in Runoff (FLIP)

LA is NOT voting out a popular Governor.

The South is quite polarized, Scott and DeSantis both won narrowly, McCrory underperformed Trump by only 1 percent. Also, while Senate races are more polarized than Governor races, everyone said this about Mary Landrieu, and as the time went on, it was clear she was in troublemaker Also David Vitter was a terrible candidate, and JBE was endorsed by several prominent Republicans. Plus, while Republican states are more open to electing Democratic Senators, Democratic states are more open to electing Republican governors, JBE is probably done and I expect him to lose in December. When, we actually have quality polling, we can make a more accurate assessment. Note his numbers are nowhere near, where Hogan's or Baker's, were, he may squeak by, like Steve Bullock, but I doubt it, he should lose.

[S019]

Mary Landrieu 2.0, anyone??

[S019]

Mary Landrieu 2.0, anyone??

I don't think people saw you write this the first three times, how about you write it some more.

Always necessary to belabor the point, given that most of these people think that JBE will win by double digits

[S019]

The runoff is in November NOT December to the idiot who mentioned that.

LA law is weird, Senate runoffs in December, and governor runoffs in November

[S019]

Edwards, Hood, Beshear win in November, teaching Democrats how to win in the South.

This would be the worst kick-off possible for the Trump 2020 campaign lol

Maybe Steve Beshear can knock off Mitch in 2020 with the #SCRANTONPOPULISTFF on the top of the ticket.

Ha, NO!!


Mitch is Safe, but his margin will close to Likely, Lean margin, if Dems are lucky, but KY on a federal level is too inelastic for him to lose