Angry Bernie supporters take over Vermont and burn all non-bernie ballots
The South's African American turnout is 0%
ARIZONA IS MORE SOUTHERN THAN KENTUCKY
This point explains it, while AZ is geographically Southern, KY is much more culturally Southern. Also Hispanics would turn out in drives, if Paulite was the nominee, and he may well lose Maricopa by double digits (Think: Arpaio v Penzone), and would be trounced in Pima, meanwhile statewide, KY is becoming much more difficult, and it is very likely that KY reelects an Anti-Vaxxer as governor.