CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

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If I were Newsom, I would make DeSantis my foil and beat the drum constantly on how much better California is doing than Florida.

If Newsom makes his recall campaign about Desantis, he deserves to lose.

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Maybe it was safe all along and I was too bullish on the GOP from the start, but I can't help but think that the California GOP would have done much better here by doing anything other than what they did. They consolidated behind a candidate who is so crazy that he'd be a liability even in a red state, deliberately nationalized the race and sought attention, and then declared that the election was going to be rigged.

When this started out there was support for recall from independents, and even a decent chunk of Democrats. It wasn't getting the attention Dems wanted it to be getting, and Republicans were engaged. Their actions these past few weeks have reversed all of that. My new prediction of No +16% is still probably going to underpredict the margin at this rate.