Do you personally know any Biden 2020 - Trump 2024 voters?

[Dan the Roman]

My father is shaky. He has decided "it might be better for the country if Trump won"  but voting for him is a bridge too far. He has voted Democratic since 1988.

I would say the biggest shift in my circle which admittedly skews rightwing is Biden's loss of support, especially among those who "lent him" their voted in 2020.

Biden has offered them 0. Nada. He has simultaneously run the most partisan administration in American history when it comes to appointments/governance, while also running the most leftwing.

Almost every Republican and Conservative I know(and I am not counting people who agree with MSNBC on everything- ie pro-choice, Ukraine flags, pro trans) but are currently active politically, despises Biden and this administration.  They don't dislike it. They aren't disappointed. They despise it.

Now for those who felt Trump was unfit and January 6th along with the two months preceding it were a traumatic experience this presents a quandary. But at the moment this group, which lent Biden their votes in 2020 and in some cases voted Democatic 2022 is leaning towards Trump. And for most it's Trump or a write-in. They will never vote for Biden again.

That said I would say Tech/DC center-right/NE center-right finance has gone from

25% Third-party 30% Clinton 45% Trump in 2016
50% Biden 5% write-in 45% Trump on 2020
60% Biden  10% write-in 30% Trump Feb 2021
40% Biden 20% write-in 40% Trump December 2022
15% Biden 30 % thirdparty/write-in 55% Trump 2024

So the biggest shift has been the collapse in Biden's support. Trump is still viewed as an evil,  but the change is that he is now viewed as the lesser evil. And as most of the current third-party/write-in voters are either OK with Trump defeating Biden or would prefer it, it's unclear whether the planned Biden campaign anti-Trump messaging will do much.

They are refusing to vote for Trump on principle post Jan 6th but don't mind him winning anyway