How do high median income (>200k/year) communities swing?

[Dan the Roman]

D relative to 2012 and earlier. R relative to 2020 and even 2022.

Jan 6(which has faded a bit and also been culturally transformed in certain finance/tech circles) and Dobbs(which dosent effect them) versus Campus unrest/blaming Democrats for the fiasco which modern college admissions has transformed into for their kids or will in the future/perception of drift/a strong desire not to be on the same side with leftwing urbanites for which student loans and opposing protests are a good proxy

On net a lot pushing them in that direction.

But they will still be much more Democratic than Pre-Trump and very high turnout for Biden. Just less extreme

There has been a cultural shift. But it's muted by Trump. Haley would have caused the bottom to fall out as these communities reasserrted their self identity by reverting to near 2004 margins as "punishment" for having been forced to vote Democratic during the Trump years.