Strongest swings in counties with over 100,000 votes (user search)
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  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Strongest swings in counties with over 100,000 votes (search mode)
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Author Topic: Strongest swings in counties with over 100,000 votes  (Read 5306 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« on: November 14, 2008, 08:44:05 AM »

As has been noted Riverside is close to the ones on this list. Orange county was about 18 points. Salt Lake city is very very interesting. Mainly because I do believe Obama didn't run ads there. I guess ads could explain Omaha to a degree but not SLC. Does it not have a lot of mormons or something?

SLC has a huge number of non-Mormons, actually.
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2008, 09:12:32 AM »

Looking up the demographics of these counties, it looks like many (Hidalgo, Hamilton, McHenry, Osceola, Prince William, Kane, Salt Lake, Mecklenburg, Loudoun, Riverside) are fast-growing. Are these counties being filled with types of people who generally vote Democratic, or did Obama have a greater appeal to these communities than Kerry did?

Yes. Smiley

Some of it is driven by much higher minority turnout and Latino support for Obama (Hidalgo, Osceola, part of Mecklenburg), some of it is driven by middle-class and affluent suburbs feeling the pain this year and not connecting with Republicans at all, some of it is a combination of the latter and Chicago allegiances. You can be sure that lots of those Obama voters were Bush voters in '04 in places like Hamilton County, IN and Loudoun County, VA.
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