Looking similar to 2000 where Bush held this type of lead on Gore, eventually winning the state with 50-46%
Did Ohio poll that closely in 2000? Gore wrote it off early...
I dont know if Gore wrote it off, but there wasnt the emphasis like there was in 2004
My memory is that Dems weren't polling that well in Ohio and had no organization, and Gore made a strategic decision to focus on other states. Then, on Election Day, he did much better than expected. That was the start of the Dems' focus on that state for the upcoming election.