I'm moving WY-AL from Safe GOP to GOP Favored. It's fun to poke at such as sparsely populated state, but it's easy to forget that Wyoming is experiencing a population boom.
They're recruiting heavily from the rust belt states, too. While many people who left Michigan for the south ended up as solid Republican voters, it adds a bit of volatility to a race that would have been one of the most unpredictable in the country. At the very least, these people aren't going to be receptive to the kind of "he's not from around here" attacks that would be leveled at Trauner. There is also a great deal of tension with the Republican Administration over split estates which is likely only getting worse with the energy boom.
I agree that we'd need a few more Republican mistakes and recruiting failures for Trauner to have a chance.
