NC-SEN 2020: Tar Heel Tillis

[Brittain33]

Of course he’s trolling, guys.

[Brittain33]

I suppose if SirWoodbury can talk about John Edwards running with a straight face, then I can suggest, that if Tillis retires, Mark Harris should run.

Hopefully this thread will just have real news at some point.

[Brittain33]

I wonder if Roy Cooper will seriously consider the race. It can't be fun being the Democratic governor of a one-party state where the legislature has legislated away democracy.

[Brittain33]

State Senator Erica Smith announced she is running. She represents several rural counties in Butterfield's district.

https://www.voteericafornc.com/

I'm assuming a state senator isn't considered a top-tier challenger.

[Brittain33]

According to a new poll, Tillis's approval rating among all adults is 23/33, 25/36 among registered voters, and 27/40 among 2018 voters. Really surprises me that so many North Carolinians have no opinion of their junior Senator.

More to the point, this serves as strong evidence that Tillis is in big trouble. A good poll for Democrats.

NC is a fast-growing state and people notoriously tuned out the 2014 election. And state government and NC-9 provide plenty of news to drown out a backbench senator. Seems legit to me.

[Brittain33]

Is it fair to call this Tilt D?

Not without a real D candidate.

[Brittain33]

I agree with almost all of that accept that 2022 is shaping up to most likely be a Republican year

Nothing indicates this so far.
Do you say this based on anything tangible?

Based on 2010 and 1994 and the certainty the economy will still have high unemployment even if recovering.

[Brittain33]

I agree with almost all of that accept that 2022 is shaping up to most likely be a Republican year

Nothing indicates this so far.
Do you say this based on anything tangible?

Based on 2010 and 1994 and the certainty the economy will still have high unemployment even if recovering.

Trump overlooks fantastic economy and loses => Voters become nostalgic and reward the GOP in 2022
Trump tanks the economy => the recession lasts, Trump's successor takes the blame, voters reward GOP in 2022

Am I doing this right?

Some posters say it like it's written in the stars that 2022 will be GOP wave year.

We are scarred by the history we experienced.

[Brittain33]

Wonder if Loeffler’s in hot water too.

Almost definitely not. The reason Burr's getting investigated so thoroughly (and eventually indicted, in all likelihood) is because he was a disloyal soldier for the GOP during Senate Intel's investigation into Russia's attack on the 2016 election. It doesn't benefit Trump to investigate or prosecute Loeffler.

Trump prefers Collins and thought Kemp’s appointment of Loeffler was disloyal.

[Brittain33]

I wonder how many people will switch their votes over this. On the one hand, a plurality of NC voters went for President Pussy Grabber who spent $130,000 on hush money for a porn actress he slept with while his wife was pregnant. On the other hand, Cunningham is counting on the votes of suburban women who are offended by Trump’s behavior.

[Brittain33]

The till is empty