Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Brittain33]

How do you access the map of Mecklenburg? I can't find it.

[Brittain33]

Glad I didn't flip my prediction from Bishop when there was all the expectations setting in the last 48 hours.

[Brittain33]

I should say I haven't looked at the outstanding precincts from Bladen if we are searching for extra votes, but it does look like there are two with large Black populations....

It does also look like maybe they shut down these precincts for the SE and made voters drive longer distances.... idk

Yeah it’s always racism whenever you lose right?

Um, no one gets to play innocent about racist shenanigans affecting elections in North Carolina, Justice Roberts. I trust you know the record.

[Brittain33]

If you look at the PVI and how nearly all comparable seats are held by Rs, it’s 2018 which was the extraordinary outcome for Dems in this district. It’s really remarkable that McCready got so close that Harris’s cheating was required to put him over the top... no wonder Harris thought he would get away with it.

[Brittain33]

Since this was an R+2 win in a R+8 district, I looked up D+6 for mirror universe toss-ups in a Clinton Presidency.

CA-52 (Peters)
CO-7 (Perlmutter)
DE-AL (Blunt Rochester)
FL-22 (Deutch)
FL-26 (Mucarsel-Powell)
GA-2 (Bishop)
IL-3 (Lipinski)
MA-6 (Moulton)
KY-3 (Yarmuth)
RI-2 (Langevin, I think)
WA-1 (DelBene)
WA-6 (Kilmer)

However, I think all of these are gravely misleading examples, and should be overruled because the final D+6 district feels red to all of us.

[Brittain33]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1171611976100917248

Dan Bishop was never ever down by 17 points

And the disingenuousness continues

https://mobile.twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1171650087933698048

Wait until Kirk finds out the black population % in Mississippi and that Trump won that state in 2016, too.

[Brittain33]

I'm unable to quote on this forum.

Interesting points I'm going to have to think about this.

I think quoting becomes available after a few more posts.

[Brittain33]

Cenk Uygur will massively outraise Christy Smith, there are many people on this site that think you have to be a boring centrist who weaponizes identity politics to win, that is simply not true!!!
Cenk will win.

I know this post is old, but I'm marveling at the idea that Erdogan shill Cenk Uygur, who named his company after a murderous Turkish junta, is somehow not one of the most glaring examples of identity politics in America. Man is literally draped in Turkish nationalism. What is that if not identity politics?

But you see, he is a white guy so it's by definition impossible for him to engage in identity politics.

Alright, I'm very very very far from a fan of Cenk Uygur, but the idea that he's white is, ironically, one of the most "ignorant white Greek Boomer" things I've ever heard.

Well, he isn't black, he isn't Latino, he isn't Asian, he isn't Native American or Pacific Islander.

1. Arabs and Turks are white by U.S. Census definitions.
2. Islamophobia and xenophobia against Arabs and Turks are definitely a thing, so it’s hard to say they can’t have minority identity politics.

[Brittain33]

1. Arabs and Turks are white by U.S. Census definitions.
2. Islamophobia and xenophobia against Arabs and Turks are definitely a thing, so it’s hard to say they can’t have minority identity politics.

Turks have been very prominent allies of the US for almost 70 years. I don't think they are victims of Islamophobia as much as Arabs, and another reason for that is that they are much more secular.

Sikhs are neither Muslims nor aligned with enemies of the U.S., but they still face bigotry and discrimination because of their appearance.

[Brittain33]

With the obvious caveat that votes will continue to be counted until March 18, Dems have to be concerned that in the CA-25 Special Jungle, Rs have received 52.6% to Dems getting 47.4%.

The caveat is a big one because the assumption is that California Dems held on to their ballots much later than Republicans because of the uncertainty around the presidential primary.

[Brittain33]

Are we done with these for the year and should I unsticky the thread?

[Brittain33]

Are we done with these for the year and should I unsticky the thread?

NY-23 is still counting but any other elections will be held concurrent with the GE for super short terms or not held at all.

Oh, ok, I wasn't following that final results haven't come in yet. I'll update.