State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Brittain33]

It's different from the results in NH, for example.

Not surprising to me. NH is one of the most anti-Trump/anti-Republican states in the country right now.

True, but so is MA, and this is a district that's narrowly Dem on the federal level.

It's a district that would not surprise me to vote for an R legislator in a neutral year. To vote for an R in a year looking strongly anti-R, indicates something to account for.

Lots of possibilities. Maybe the R is a strong candidate. Maybe the D "shat the bed", as someone said. Maybe it's local politics. Maybe it's Charlie Baker. Maybe it's the scandal with the President of the Senate. I will take IceSpear's bait and say I don't think it's indicative of the national mood. This district is a universe away from the past of Mass. where I live, so I don't know.

[Brittain33]

Oh yay, I found some numbers for the MA race.

http://www.sentinelandenterprise.com/breakingnews/ci_31504076/gops-dean-tran-wins-special-election-state-senate

Tran (R): 7,240
Chalifoux Zephyr (D): 6,633
Freda (I): 1,554
DiCalogero (Green): 200

Freda described herself as a fiscal conservative but "strong on social justice", either a conservative Democrat or a liberal Republican. Without knowing more it's hard to say who she hurt more, but obviously she had a following. In a special election, she may have pulled out people who were unlikely to vote if she weren't in the race. Her healthcare platform is brilliant, she should be running HHS: "Healthcare is the biggest liability and expense that the state faces. It also impacts our cities and towns. A more affordable healthcare program needs to be made available."

On the basis of 5 minutes of web searching and the sizable margin Tran had, I can't say from these totals that she caused the election to go from D to R.

[Brittain33]

Oh, this has got to be it.

Tran is an at-large city councillor in Fitchburg, pop. 40,414.
Chalifoux Zephyr is at-large city councillor in Leominster, pop. 41,663.

Evenly matched, right?
Except Clare Freda was also a city councillor at-large in Leominster.

I would love to see city results, but it sounds like Freda sapped Chalifoux Zephyr's geographic base.

Maybe Tran would have won anyway, but I bet this was the nail in the D's coffin.

[Brittain33]

Florida dems suck so hard. In before LimoLiberal wets his bed again.

Feel free to report trolling to moderators

[Brittain33]

Final Results:

State Representative, District 58
General
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Lawrence McClure   REP   7,592   
54.47%
Jose Vazquez   DEM   4,715   
33.83%
Ahmad Hussam Saadaldin   NPA   1,188   
8.52%
Bryan Zemina   LPF   443   
3.18%
13,938   Total

#FLDEMSSUCK

Very interesting. 20 point margin for R. I think Clinton lost this district by 10?

Yes, it's a big swing. Why do you think the Democrat running this time did worse than Clinton, LimoLiberal?

Feel free to make reference to facts mentioned further up in the thread about the candidates.

[Brittain33]

Anybody know if Tennessee early vote is especially pro Dem?

Or if it's raining especially heavily today?

[Brittain33]

IS SHE ABOUT TO DO IT?

lol

Y'all still think I'm a Republican?

Why do you think people might doubt your progressive credentials, LimousineLiberal?

Tip: when I used to concern troll on Free Republic 15 years ago, I didn't post as "RightWingNutjob" because that might have undermined my case.

[Brittain33]

78% Trump district and the Dem's home county is 100% in and he's barely leading? I'm not staying up for the massive swing in the PVI to a moderate loss, thanks.

[Brittain33]

Krazen should be weeping, as his party is the victim of voter fraud. The fact that none of you have entered into any actual argument as to why we should trust that such an improbable result is a fairly achieved result is just more proof that fraud occurred.

Look at the vote totals. Dems weren't bussed in; Republicans didn't show up.

[Brittain33]

Karla Bigham's campaign t-shirts were made at a mall in 1981.

[Brittain33]

Bigham's up by 10 points now.

[Brittain33]

Not much of a swing, at least not in 23B.

[Brittain33]

[Brittain33]

12% net swing from 2016.

Significantly better than yesterday for the Dems.

[Brittain33]

Rick Scott will notice.

[Brittain33]

Oh yeah, there's a special in Louisiana.

I saw "Tangipahoa Parish" and mentally checked out. As interesting as a special in the South Bronx.