FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5 (user search)
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  FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL - Monmouth: Clinton +5  (Read 4097 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« on: September 20, 2016, 12:23:41 PM »

The Siena Poll is Clinton +3 or Clinton +4 if you apply different LV screens. This may be at the outer edge, but it's not ridiculous, especially if we're correcting from an artificial blip for Trump.
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2016, 12:26:34 PM »

The Siena Poll is Clinton +3 or Clinton +4 if you apply different LV screens. This may be at the outer edge, but it's not ridiculous, especially if we're correcting from an artificial blip for Trump.
And it could be Trump +1

Also true.

Clinton +9 in Florida would be an outlier. If we assume Clinton's recovering, as it looks like she is, Clinton +5 is a reasonable result. If she's not recovering and the race is still Clinton +1/2 nationally, with Trump having big problems with Hispanics, Clinton +5 looks like outer edge of reasonable range.
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