Obama to be extensively involved in 2016 campaign

[Brittain33]

I love talk about how Trump starts with all of Romney's voters and then just adds more "white guys" on top of that to swamp Hillary.

His Pyrrhic success in the Republican primary is obscuring how completely toxic he is outside of it. Dude's got an approval rating of 35% and for every angry non-voter he pulls into his coalition, he kicks out two Republicans who'd never dream of voting for Hillary.

[Brittain33]

If the demographic turnout remained exactly the same as 2012, but Trump slightly increased his share of white non-college votes and turned them out slightly more, he instantaneously jumps from 206 electoral votes to 253.

You have to account for how far the white college vote drops for him compared to Romney, and also whether the white non-college women fleeing his misogyny cancel out the white non-college male vote going up for him.