When Do Democrats Get the House Back? (user search)
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  When Do Democrats Get the House Back? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When Do Democrats Get the House Back?  (Read 1804 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« on: November 26, 2012, 12:38:36 PM »

I think the most likely possibility is a year when Dems are riding high with a coalition different from the Obama coalition so it reshuffles the gerrymandering and opens up new possibilities. For example, if the Republicans make a run at Medicare under Paul Ryan and we have a senior-friendly Dem at the top of the ticket, that opens up districts in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin we'd otherwise lose with the Obama base vote being determinative. Meanwhile, the Dem districts in those states and elsewhere will be uncompetitive for Republicans.
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2012, 05:05:22 PM »

2018 perhaps, why is everyone saying 2022?Huh That seems too far away!

Current district lines strongly favor the GOP and won't change until after the 2020 Census.

People were saying the same thing in 2002 and 2004, and for good reason, and then 2006 happened. 
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