Advertising Notes - Where the Dems and Reps are Putting Their Money

[Brittain33]

I would think that Critz's success in PA-12 earlier this year would show the limits of this strategy in Appalachia. But we'll see; a mid-term election has a bigger pool of voters than a special election.

[Brittain33]

I would think that Critz's success in PA-12 earlier this year would show the limits of this strategy in Appalachia. But we'll see; a mid-term election has a bigger pool of voters than a special election.

It's easier to focus on local issues in a House race than a Senate race.

Well, but, we're not really seeing that distinction in House polling so far. And West Virginia is a small enough state with a homogeneous enough economy, and Manchin has a record of dealing with local issues that Critz didn't, that he should have a leg up in doing so.

[Brittain33]

Well, if they can't win now in CA, they can't ever win in CA.

It's the best environment they've had in a while, but there must be a way for a better, less-flawed candidate than Carly Fiorina to become a) the Republican nominee and yet b) afford to campaign in California. Maybe?

[Brittain33]

DCCC has canceled everything but the last week of ads in AZ-08. No idea what to make of that; if Giffords is toast, why keep any ads at all?

Giffords has a ridiculous amount of money to spend on herself. It would be reasonable for the DCCC to spend money elsewhere where it's better needed.

Either that, or Arizona's going to have 2 Dem congressmen next year.

[Brittain33]

Excellent. Kagen was an embarrassment.

Unions just dropped $750k in this one district, and Kagen is a self-funder.

He has a competitive race and may lose, but this is not a sign that he is gone like Driehaus.

[Brittain33]

The same article, FWIW, also said that internal polling had Perry leading.

Like Sestak's internal polling?

[Brittain33]

"Republicans say that polling shows Perry ahead of Keating, and well-positioned for victory; even many Democratic insiders are pessimistic, and unimpressed with Keating's campaign thus far."

Well, that is depressing. I don't see much redeeming value in Perry. Scott Brown I dislike on many levels, but Perry is tawdry. Diploma mills?

[Brittain33]

Cutting advertising for 1/3rd of the district in a supposedly close race isn't a good sign.

Not a good sign, but again, as with AZ-8, the guy is already richer than Croesus which likely entered into the equation.