NV: Research 2000: Sen. Reid defeats Angle by 6

[Brittain33]

Actually, Research 2000 is the St. Louis Dispatch pollster, they are just another in the Daily kos website. As I remember they had Obama winning Missouri and wining NV. They are very bullish on Dems chances in MO and NV. And he lost MO.

Yeah, but by a microscopically small margin, so...

The southern half of the state was in a small zone of the country that swung harder against Obama than expected. Its epicenter was in Arkansas.

[Brittain33]

Would anyone dispute that the field's volatile and we could see someone other than Angle nominated?

[Brittain33]

This race is almost becoming too predictable.  I wonder if Al's seeing it as clearly as I am.

So, predict away then.

Sam never predicts. He just knows. Maybe someday you'll be lucky enough to be as smart as he is. But probably not.

My theory is that he got burned alluding to the clear path Florida was going to take, where Crist was only going to go down in the polls from being slightly behind Rubio, so we're not going to get him to put his money where his mouth is until much later in the season. But maybe he'll grow a pair...

[Brittain33]

These polls are too good to be true, if REid wins, we will have a supermajority senate and that I believe isn't going to be the case.

Reid can win if the Republicans utterly blow it, while Dems still lose ND, DE, AR, maybe CO, PA...