PApolitics
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« on: January 27, 2019, 06:26:45 PM » |
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In October of 2018, Democrat State Rep. Sid Michaels Kavulich died. He had served in the State Assembly since 2011, and was unopposed in the upcoming election. Speaker of the House Mike Turzai announced that a special election would be held on March 12.
The 114th District is entirely within Lackawanna County. It snakes through the county, avoiding the City of Scranton but including several of it's subrubs. This district is interesting for a few reasons. First, it includes areas and demographics have begun to move in different directions. In the north-central region sits The Abingtons, a traditionally Republican, suburban well-off area that voted for Romney in 2012, but swung to Clinton in 2016. Then there are towns in the southern and eastern edges of the district that were traditionally working class, Democrat neighborhoods, like Carbondale and Old Forge. These places swung heavily to Trump in 2016. Overall, Trump won the district with around 52%, a big change from 2008, when Obama fell just short of 60% here. However, in 2018, it swung back sharply to the Democrats. Tom Wolf, Bob Casey, and Matt Cartwright all won the district by double digits.
The candidates for the special election are Old Forge School District President Frank Scavo (R), and registered nurse Bridget Malloy Kosierowski (D) of Clarks Summit. With the back and forth of this district recently, it is hard to tell who is favored, but Scavo does have one advantage over Kosierowski. He was the Republican nominee for State Senate in 2018, which means he should have more name recognition going into the campaign.
As of right now, I personally would rate the race Lean D, due to the recent results and political environment. But, of course, anything could happen before March 12.
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