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Author Topic: Atlas Forever 2008  (Read 43709 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #50 on: May 06, 2009, 03:50:33 PM »

Run me versus Hashemite in the Democratic primaries and then PiT versus Dan in the Repub primaries and then run the winners.

Democratic Polls before Iowa:

L'Hermine: 26 states
Moore: 15 states
Tossup: 10 states

Republican Primaries before Iowa:

Smith: 26 states
Drexler: 6 states
Tossup: 18 states
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #51 on: May 06, 2009, 04:07:03 PM »

Polls on election day:

Smith: 238
L'Hermine: 139
Tossup: 161

Results:

Smith: 52.4% PV, 366 EV
L'Hermine: 47.6% PV, 172 EV
Baldwin: 0% PV, 0 EV
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #52 on: June 23, 2009, 10:05:09 PM »

I ran myself against Coppersmith, with Baldwin as my candidate (only on the ballot in Utah).

Polls on election day:

Constine: 329
Coppersmith: 104
Tossup: 105

Election Day results:

Constine: 54.8% PV (64,335,66), 430 EV
Coppersmith: 45.2% PV (53,030,555), 108 EV
Baldwin: 0.0% PV (1,700), 0 EV

Maine: 75%-25%
Texas: 71.1%-28.9%
Utah: 76.9%-23.1%
Vermont: 91.5%-8.5%

Illinois was decided by 10,000 votes, South Carolina by 3,200 votes, and Mississippi by 2,500 votes.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #53 on: June 24, 2009, 08:19:38 PM »

I forgot to do primary maps, but Valmont (Fezzy) swept the GOP nomination without difficulty; the Democrats, however, are deadlocked three ways.  Entering the Convention, here are the totals:

L'Hermine (Hashemite): 1330 delegates
Constine: 1321 delegates
Moore (HappyWarrior): 1185 delegates

L'Hermine eventually gained the majority of the delegates, and selected Moore as his running mate.

Polls on Election Day:

Valmont: 327
L'Hermine: 109
Tossup: 102

Election Results:

Valmont: 55.3% (64,760,528) PV, 405 EV
L'Hermine: 44.7% (52,398,538) PV, 133 EV
Baldwin: 0.0% (36,275) PV, 0 EV
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #54 on: June 24, 2009, 08:54:31 PM »

Polls on Iowa Caucus Day:

Constine: 11 states
L'Hermine: 4 states
McShan: 2 states
Moore: 1 state
Tossup: 33 states


Bahney: 34 states
Vepres: 3 states
Tossup: 14 states

Bahney did not lose a primary, and coasted to the nomination, with Vepres dropping out on February 5.  Constine, after losing Iowa, Michigan, and South Carolina, did not lose another primary, and clinched on March 4.

Polls on Election Day:

Constine: 249
Bahney: 159
Tossup: 130

Results:

Constine: 53% (62,144,355) PV, 407 EV
Bahney: 47% (55,048,046) PV, 131 EV
Baldwin: 0.0% (880) PV, 0 EV

Utah was decided by 880 votes, and New Hampshire was decided by 520 votes.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #55 on: June 24, 2009, 09:39:20 PM »

How do I keep losing?  I am not a week candidate.  Something seems fishy to me ben.

You only gave yourself $3,000,000, an Established of 2, and a relatively low PIP number.  That probably has to do with it.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #56 on: June 24, 2009, 09:58:57 PM »

Polls before Iowa:

Constine: 45 states
Moore: 2 states
Tossup: 4 states


Bahney: 48 states
Vepres: 1 state
Tossup: 2 states

I have no explanation for this.  Every candidate has the same number of PIP's, Constine and Bahney have $10,000,000, while Vepres and Happy both have $5,000,000.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #57 on: June 24, 2009, 10:09:04 PM »

Vepres drops out on February 25, HappyWarrior drops out on March 24.

Polls on Election Day:

Bahney: 260
Constine: 227
Tossup: 51
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #58 on: June 24, 2009, 10:18:01 PM »

Results:

Bahney: 51% (59,733,498) PV, 279 EV
Constine: 49% (57,456,705) PV, 259 EV
Baldwin: 0% (4,237) PV, 0 EV
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #59 on: June 24, 2009, 10:22:18 PM »

Better quality is in the gallery, fwiw.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #60 on: June 24, 2009, 10:32:20 PM »

Per Vepres' suggestion, I've set well known and and established equal.  It also turned out I had set base percentages differently; I was set at 18, Bahney was set at 20, Happy was set at 15, and Vepres was at 15.  I corrected that, and got these maps:



Better quality in gallery.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #61 on: June 24, 2009, 10:46:34 PM »

Me and Vepres eventually clinched the nominations, and you can check the results in the Gallery.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #62 on: June 25, 2009, 11:00:44 AM »

Just a quick note on percentages: I set everyone at 20% across the board, except for 30% in their home states.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #63 on: June 26, 2009, 03:42:07 PM »

Who is Gutierrez?
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #64 on: June 26, 2009, 08:41:26 PM »

Pre-Iowa Democrats:


Pre=Iowa Republicans:


Better quality in gallery.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #65 on: June 26, 2009, 09:07:50 PM »

Moore and Valmont both clinched on Super Tuesday.

Polls on Election Day (better quality in Gallery)Sad


Results (better quality in Gallery)Sad
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