Since it was pointed out that my last prediction had some faults, I decided to revise the list.
Democrats: 201
Republicans: 126
Tossups: 211
1.) Why in the world would FL lose EV?
2.) Why does Arkansas move left?
Florida loses EV for a number of reasons. First, the weather and hurricane risk stems people from locating to southern Florida. Also, I expect a large number of Cubans to return to Cuba after Castro dies. I expect Arkansas to move left because of the Clinton effect, combined with an already strong-Democratic congressional delegation.