HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
Posts: 4,038
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« on: July 15, 2009, 05:44:15 AM » |
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I'd feel safe only adding Wyoming and Oklahoma to the list. Oklahoma simply because they proved in 2008 that they still prefer to vote with their Bibles there rather than with their pocketbooks, and Wyoming didn't swing as strongly towards Obama as its red neighbors like Idaho, Utah, Montana and Nebraska did. That being said, Obama did significantly better in Idaho and Utah than John Kerry, as well as other GOP bastions like North Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas, and even Texas. If Obama and Democrats have a landslide year in 2012 like LBJ had in 1964, I could see him carrying all of these states. The South is a mystery to me because it is such a racially polarizing region that is still unfortunately divided into the white party and the black party. Georgia *could* be won with the right Democrat; Obama may be able to win it in 2012 if the landslide effect is there, but I still doubt that. He would have to get more of the white vote and I still don't see that happening. I'd say in a landslide year, he could pick up West Virginia, Kentucky, Arkansas and *possibly* Louisiana, but Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina are still a little out of reach for the Democrats until the older generation starts dying off and more tolerant/less racist and bigoted younger voters become more prevalent.
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