ND-R2k/Kos - Dorgan strong against Hoeven

[HAnnA MArin County]

This would be an exciting race with two immensely popular politicians albeit in a state that leans red. It's worth pointing out that George W. Bush carried North Dakota by 27.36 points in 2004; John McCain only carried the state by 8.60 points. Despite these facts, I still think Dorgan is the favorite. I've read some previous posts on here about his populist streak and record of standing up for the little guy while in D.C. which I believe matches the state of North Dakota well. I just don't see why Hoeven would risk his safe position as Governor for a seat in the minority in the U.S. Senate where he will have virtually no power at all compared to what he has now as Governor. I'm sensing a little bit of 2012 creeping into his decision, here.. perhaps he is going to do what his fellow Governor Sarah "I Can See Russia From My House" Palin is widely speculated to do: run for the U.S. Senate to gain some national spotlight and attention in Washington before launching a presidential bid in 2012. Alas, I can't speak for him and don't know what his true intentions are; just saying that it's a longshot. He'd definitely give Dorgan a run for his money but Dorgan will win and that will be the end of Hoeven's career.

Also, I wouldn't look too much into this DailyKos poll. Two words: New Hampshire. And put that in perspective.. this time during the same election cycle showed Elizabeth Dole crushing Kay Hagan by 16 points in North Carolina.