What Solid Democratic States Are Least Likely To Go Republican And Vice Versa? (user search)
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  What Solid Democratic States Are Least Likely To Go Republican And Vice Versa? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What Solid Democratic States Are Least Likely To Go Republican And Vice Versa?  (Read 8562 times)
HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,038
United States


« on: April 12, 2010, 02:05:50 AM »

I'd argue Utah and Rhode Island.
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,038
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2010, 02:23:38 AM »



In terms of averaging the margins of victory between the Republican and Democratic presidential candidates, the most Democratic state is the District of Columbia (or Massachusetts if you don't consider DC a state) and the most Republican state is Utah. The map above shows the average margins of victory for the past five presidential elections (1992-2008).

Here are the actual numbers, according to my calculations.

Solidly Democratic States 
1. District of Columbia (D +78.674)
2. Massachusetts (D+ 26.032)
3. Rhode Island (D+ 25.708)
4. New York (D+ 22.966)
5. Hawaii (D+ 21.806)
6. Vermont (D+ 21.006)

Strongly Democratic States
7. Maryland (D+ 16.996)
8. Illinois (D+ 15.844)
9. Connecticut (D+ 14.954)
10. California (D+ 14.414)
11. Delaware (D+ 13.814)
12. Maine (D+ 12.136)
13. New Jersey (D+ 11.656)
14. Washington (D+ 10.762)

Lean Democratic States
15. Michigan (D+ 9.120)
16. Minnesota (D+ 8.780)
17. Oregon (D+ 7.798)
18. Pennsylvania (D+ 7.042)
19. New Mexico (D+ 6.056)
20. Wisconsin (D+ 5.838)
21. Iowa (D+ 5.110)

Barely Democratic States - Battlegrounds
22. New Hampshire (D+ 4.176)
23. Nevada (D+ 2.004)
24. Ohio (D+ 1.432)
25. Missouri (D+ 1.156)
26. Florida (D+ 0.320)

Barely Republican States - Battlegrounds
27. Arkansas (R+ 0.080)
28. Colorado (R+ 0.238)
29. West Virginia (R+ 0.902)
30. Virginia (R+ 3.252)
31. Louisiana (R+ 4.824)
32. Arizona (R+ 4.990)

Lean Republican States
33. Tennessee (R+ 5.228)
34. North Carolina (R+ 6.086)
35. Georgia (R+ 6.814)
36. Indiana (R+ 9.398)
37. Kentucky (R+ 9.408)
38. Montana (R+ 9.668)

Strongly Republican States
39. South Carolina (R+ 11.230)
40. South Dakota (R+ 11.920)
41. Mississippi (R+ 12.766)
42. Texas (R+ 12.872)
43. Alabama (R+ 15.162)
44. North Dakota (R+ 16.484)
45. Kansas (R+ 16.892)

Solidly Republican States
46. Oklahoma (R+ 20.152)
47. Alaska (R+ 20.946)
48. Nebraska (R+ 22.606)
49. Wyoming (R+ 26.132)
50. Idaho (R+ 27.018)
51. Utah (R+ 30.768)
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