Orange County, CA (UC Irvine): Biden +8 (user search)
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June 10, 2024, 07:43:01 AM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Orange County, CA (UC Irvine): Biden +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Orange County, CA (UC Irvine): Biden +8  (Read 555 times)
slothdem
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Posts: 531


« on: May 07, 2024, 11:27:19 AM »

Good result for Biden, however I'd like to see him build on his 2020 margin here, not just match it.

I'd love to see more county polls in the swing states, since it may give us a clearer picture of where things stand.

If this is accurate, it shows that Biden is holding up well in educated, affluent, diversifying suburban communities. Also bodes well for Cobb/Gwinnett (GA), Oakland/Kent (MI) and collar counties (PA), but still has work to do.

If you gave me access to just one county election result, and it was Biden +8 in Orange County, I would be pretty confident in him winning. The slippage with Hispanics and especially Asians since 2018 is real and has been repeatedly born out in elections. If Biden has matched his 2020 performance in OC then that means he has improved with white voters to a degree that is probably enough to carry the midwestern swing states.
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