[any democrat] vs Trump Map

[Heebie Jeebie]

Come on, guys.  You all know the choice of nominee is mostly irrelevant to the final vote totals.  Regardless of who's on the ticket, the map is going to look like this:



The only exception is if some clearly unqualified nut like Tulsi Gabbard gets the nomination.  Then things might  look different...but maybe not!

Am I wrong?

[Heebie Jeebie]

why is NC more dem than PA, WI, FL? Are we all assuming less voter suppression or what?

Demographic change and recent election performance.

[Heebie Jeebie]

There's a clearly unqualified nut in the White House right now so I'm not sure why you think that would be a negative for Tulsi..

There are different standards for Democrats.

[Heebie Jeebie]

There is NO WAY Trump will win WI & PA against even a semi-competent Democratic candidate.

That's what most thought in 2016.  But both those states are getting older, poorer, and less educated--i.e. more Republican.  Hillary poured more resources into Pennsylvania than almost any other state and still lost decisively.  Last year in a massive anti-Trump wave, Dems only squeaked out the barest of majorities in Wisconsin's state-wide races.  Democrats will have an even harder time there when there's an actual name at the top of their ticket for Wisconsin voters to choose between.  Right now, polling looks good for Democrats, but a contested election will depress those number significantly.

[Heebie Jeebie]

How about asking Senators Vukmir and Barletta, as well as Governor Wagner?

Incumbency has advantages.