Will Republicans have a lock on the senate in the 2030s and beyond? (user search)
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  Will Republicans have a lock on the senate in the 2030s and beyond? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will Republicans have a lock on the senate in the 2030s and beyond?  (Read 825 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,946
United States


« on: April 09, 2020, 08:02:42 AM »

I certainly think there's a chance it could happen, especially if Trump loses but Democrats fail to take the Senate in 2020. Republicans clearly have a major advantage with the Senate map, and I expect Democrats to generally control the presidency (meaning less Dem-friendly midterms).

Democrats had a lock on the House for 40 years (1955-1995), so it's not like there's no precedent.
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Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,946
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2020, 11:02:50 AM »

I certainly think there's a chance it could happen, especially if Trump loses but Democrats fail to take the Senate in 2020. Republicans clearly have a major advantage with the Senate map, and I expect Democrats to generally control the presidency (meaning less Dem-friendly midterms).

Democrats had a lock on the House for 40 years (1955-1995), so it's not like there's no precedent.

But not the senate. I think Republicans were able to hold the Senate for 16 years at one point and the Democrats 26 years? It's truly a dynasty if the GOP is still in control in 2024.

Yeah, I think the Democrats from 1955-1981 hold the record for longest uninterrupted period of control, though the Democratic-Republicans (1801-1825; though it could be longer if one wants to argue that the party didn't truly break up until a few years later) come close. Another impressive period of Senate dominance is GOP from 1861 to 1933; they controlled it for 62 of 72 years.

The GOP controlling the Senate for 10 straight years (2015-2025) would be pretty impressive, but I think it's important to understand that it's not unusual for one party to dominate a chamber over a long period of time.
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